The Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16—the first since 2023—drove sentiment for the S&P 500’s (SPX) weekly range amid sticky August CPI and PPI prints showing 3.4% and 5.4% year-over-year inflation, respectively. Elevated oil prices near $105–110 per barrel on Middle East supply risks pushed 10-year Treasury yields toward 5%, pressuring valuations while traders weighed follow-on tightening odds at the October FOMC. SPX opened the week near 7,620, dipped to 7,552 mid-week, then recovered to close Thursday at 7,638 before triple-witching volatility on September 18 left the index fluctuating around 7,630. Market-implied odds reflected uncertainty over earnings growth sustainability and AI-related slowdown signals, with the week’s net performance underscoring sensitivity to macro data releases and energy-driven inflation expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$61,382 交易量
2026-09-18
↑ 795美元
否
↑ $790
否
↑ 785美元
否
↑ 780美元
否
↑ 775美元
否
↑ 770美元
否
↑ $765
否
↑ $760
是
↓ $755
否
↓ $750
否
↓ $745
否
↓ $740
否
↓ $735
否
↓ $730
否
↓ $760
是
↑ $760
是
↑ 760美元
是
↓ $760
是
↓ $760
是
↓ 755美元
是
↓ 750美元
是
$61,382 交易量
↑ 795美元
$139 交易量
否
↑ $790
$204 交易量
否
↑ 785美元
$500 交易量
否
↑ 780美元
$747 交易量
否
↑ 775美元
$2,369 交易量
否
↑ 770美元
$9,805 交易量
否
↑ $765
$7,930 交易量
否
↑ $760
$5 交易量
是
↓ $755
$3,560 交易量
否
↓ $750
$1,107 交易量
否
↓ $745
$6,750 交易量
否
↓ $740
$4,830 交易量
否
↓ $735
$3,041 交易量
否
↓ $730
$1,652 交易量
否
↓ $760
$983 交易量
是
↑ $760
$15 交易量
是
↑ 760美元
$883 交易量
是
↓ $760
$413 交易量
是
↓ $760
$444 交易量
是
↓ 755美元
$5,761 交易量
是
↓ 750美元
$10,244 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16—the first since 2023—drove sentiment for the S&P 500’s (SPX) weekly range amid sticky August CPI and PPI prints showing 3.4% and 5.4% year-over-year inflation, respectively. Elevated oil prices near $105–110 per barrel on Middle East supply risks pushed 10-year Treasury yields toward 5%, pressuring valuations while traders weighed follow-on tightening odds at the October FOMC. SPX opened the week near 7,620, dipped to 7,552 mid-week, then recovered to close Thursday at 7,638 before triple-witching volatility on September 18 left the index fluctuating around 7,630. Market-implied odds reflected uncertainty over earnings growth sustainability and AI-related slowdown signals, with the week’s net performance underscoring sensitivity to macro data releases and energy-driven inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$61,382結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16—the first since 2023—drove sentiment for the S&P 500’s (SPX) weekly range amid sticky August CPI and PPI prints showing 3.4% and 5.4% year-over-year inflation, respectively. Elevated oil prices near $105–110 per barrel on Middle East supply risks pushed 10-year Treasury yields toward 5%, pressuring valuations while traders weighed follow-on tightening odds at the October FOMC. SPX opened the week near 7,620, dipped to 7,552 mid-week, then recovered to close Thursday at 7,638 before triple-witching volatility on September 18 left the index fluctuating around 7,630. Market-implied odds reflected uncertainty over earnings growth sustainability and AI-related slowdown signals, with the week’s net performance underscoring sensitivity to macro data releases and energy-driven inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
交易量
$61,382結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16—the first since 2023—drove sentiment for the S&P 500’s (SPX) weekly range amid sticky August CPI and PPI prints showing 3.4% and 5.4% year-over-year inflation, respectively. Elevated oil prices near $105–110 per barrel on Middle East supply risks pushed 10-year Treasury yields toward 5%, pressuring valuations while traders weighed follow-on tightening odds at the October FOMC. SPX opened the week near 7,620, dipped to 7,552 mid-week, then recovered to close Thursday at 7,638 before triple-witching volatility on September 18 left the index fluctuating around 7,630. Market-implied odds reflected uncertainty over earnings growth sustainability and AI-related slowdown signals, with the week’s net performance underscoring sensitivity to macro data releases and energy-driven inflation expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions