Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$758,664 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$758,664 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 比利時

比利時

$79,101 交易量

19%

icon for 義大利

義大利

$27,850 交易量

14%

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$62,492 交易量

12%

icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$124,487 交易量

9%

icon for 日本

日本

$48,986 交易量

7%

icon for 芬蘭

芬蘭

$38,545 交易量

7%

icon for 德國

德國

$130,083 交易量

5%

icon for 希臘

希臘

$46,785 交易量

4%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$173,410 交易量

4%

icon for 美國

美國

$26,627 交易量

4%

icon for Israel

Israel

$297 交易量

4%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems from coordinated recognitions by multiple Western states at the September 2025 UN General Assembly, including France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and Portugal, which raised the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. Several European countries, such as Belgium, have since advanced internal processes tied to conditions including Hamas's exclusion from governance, hostage releases, Palestinian Authority reforms, and elections. Remaining holdouts among G7 and NATO partners cite similar prerequisites or preference for negotiated outcomes. Ongoing UN-backed initiatives on the two-state solution and responses to Gaza developments could influence additional recognitions before the end of 2026, while U.S. opposition and domestic political factors in key capitals remain structural constraints.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$758,664
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems from coordinated recognitions by multiple Western states at the September 2025 UN General Assembly, including France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and Portugal, which raised the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. Several European countries, such as Belgium, have since advanced internal processes tied to conditions including Hamas's exclusion from governance, hostage releases, Palestinian Authority reforms, and elections. Remaining holdouts among G7 and NATO partners cite similar prerequisites or preference for negotiated outcomes. Ongoing UN-backed initiatives on the two-state solution and responses to Gaza developments could influence additional recognitions before the end of 2026, while U.S. opposition and domestic political factors in key capitals remain structural constraints.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$758,664
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

icon for 黎巴嫩會在12月31日前承認以色列嗎？

黎巴嫩會在12月31日前承認以色列嗎？

9%
是
icon for 以色列和黎巴嫩會在2027年前實現關係正常化嗎？

以色列和黎巴嫩會在2027年前實現關係正常化嗎？

6%
是
icon for 以色列和敘利亞會在2026年12月31日前實現關係正常化嗎？

以色列和敘利亞會在2026年12月31日前實現關係正常化嗎？

11%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "比利時" at 19%, followed by "義大利" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" has generated $758.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is "比利時" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "義大利" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.