Recent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$119,473 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
6%
$119,473 交易量
12月31日
$25,371 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$119,473結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
交易量
$119,473結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRecent U.S. Embassy Beirut security alerts, including the September 19, 2026 notice citing Middle East tensions and risks of rapid escalation, flight disruptions, or airspace closures, underscore ongoing caution without ordering a full drawdown. The embassy continues routine operations with essential staff after the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Iran-related concerns, while maintaining a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory for Lebanon due to armed conflict, terrorism, and unrest risks. Trader focus centers on whether further diplomatic reductions or citizen-assisted departures would follow any intensification of regional hostilities involving Iran-backed groups, Hezbollah, or Israeli actions, alongside scheduled diplomatic assessments and military posture shifts that could alter the security environment before year-end deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions