**A full congressional stock trading ban remains unlikely before 2027, as reflected in the 94% "No" odds.** The House passed H.R. 7008 in July 2026 by a 232-198 vote, prohibiting members, spouses, and dependents from buying new individual stocks while allowing existing holdings with advance sale notice; however, the measure was paired with a voter ID provision and has not advanced in the Senate, where 60 votes are typically required to overcome a filibuster. Stricter Senate proposals, such as versions reported from the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, have stalled without floor action. With the 119th Congress nearing its end amid partisan differences over scope, enforcement, and exemptions, and no legislative breakthrough since the July House vote, the window for enactment before 2027 has narrowed significantly.