**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於亞歷山大·吉馬良斯 58%
Gaguim 31.3%
愛德華多·戈梅斯 7.8%
赫利奧·羅德里格斯·博爾索納羅 3.6%
$25,761 交易量
$25,761 交易量
2026-10-04
亞歷山大·吉馬良斯
58%
Gaguim
31%
愛德華多·戈梅斯
8%
赫利奧·羅德里格斯·博爾索納羅
4%
保羅·莫朗
3%
范德萊·盧森堡
3%
奧斯瓦尼·盧茲
1%
羅納爾多·迪馬斯
1%
埃利·博爾赫斯
1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
法比奧·里貝羅
<1%
奧斯瓦爾多教授
<1%
亞歷山大·吉馬良斯 58%
Gaguim 31.3%
愛德華多·戈梅斯 7.8%
赫利奧·羅德里格斯·博爾索納羅 3.6%
$25,761 交易量
$25,761 交易量
2026-10-04
亞歷山大·吉馬良斯
$13,917 交易量
58%
Gaguim
$2,842 交易量
31%
愛德華多·戈梅斯
$1,282 交易量
8%
赫利奧·羅德里格斯·博爾索納羅
$364 交易量
4%
保羅·莫朗
$4,410 交易量
3%
范德萊·盧森堡
$386 交易量
3%
奧斯瓦尼·盧茲
$418 交易量
1%
羅納爾多·迪馬斯
$342 交易量
1%
埃利·博爾赫斯
$489 交易量
1%
Nilton Santos
$358 交易量
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$357 交易量
<1%
法比奧·里貝羅
$311 交易量
<1%
奧斯瓦爾多教授
$284 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
交易量
$25,761結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$25,761結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, consistent with polling trends through late August 2026.** Surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest show Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading first-vote intentions, with Guimarães typically placing second and ahead of Carlos Gaguim (União), Irajá Abreu (PSD), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos). High undecided shares (often 30-70% in spontaneous scenarios) and vote fragmentation across 13 candidates keep the second seat competitive, though Guimarães benefits from lower rejection ratings compared with Gaguim and Irajá. Recent August polling reinforces this ordering without major reversals, while the October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign dynamics, including regional alliances and name recognition, remain the main variables that could alter second-place probabilities before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions