Mixed-to-negative early reviews for Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama have anchored trader expectations for a soft domestic debut, with the sub-$4.5 million bin holding the clearest edge. Critics cite a lack of inspired direction and emotional depth despite Andrew Garfield’s lead turn as a 1381 peasant rebel, tempering word-of-mouth ahead of the September 11–13 frame. Focus Features and Blumhouse’s limited marketing push, combined with September’s typically quiet post-holiday corridor and competition from stronger holdovers, reinforces the market’s lean toward modest opening numbers. Any late surge in audience interest or stronger-than-expected presales could still nudge results into the mid-4 million range, but current sentiment points to a muted theatrical start.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《The Uprising》周末首映票房
少於450萬 61%
450萬-550萬 27%
550萬-650萬 14%
650-750萬 10%
少於450萬
57%
450萬-550萬
27%
550萬-650萬
14%
650-750萬
10%
750萬+
6%
少於450萬 61%
450萬-550萬 27%
550萬-650萬 14%
650-750萬 10%
少於450萬
57%
450萬-550萬
27%
550萬-650萬
14%
650-750萬
10%
750萬+
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mixed-to-negative early reviews for Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama have anchored trader expectations for a soft domestic debut, with the sub-$4.5 million bin holding the clearest edge. Critics cite a lack of inspired direction and emotional depth despite Andrew Garfield’s lead turn as a 1381 peasant rebel, tempering word-of-mouth ahead of the September 11–13 frame. Focus Features and Blumhouse’s limited marketing push, combined with September’s typically quiet post-holiday corridor and competition from stronger holdovers, reinforces the market’s lean toward modest opening numbers. Any late surge in audience interest or stronger-than-expected presales could still nudge results into the mid-4 million range, but current sentiment points to a muted theatrical start.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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