Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

icon for 哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

哪部電影在2026年首映週末排名第二？

哪部電影在2026年的首映週末排名第三？

哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

哪部電影在2026年首映週末排名第二？

哪部電影在2026年的首映週末排名第三？

復仇者聯盟：末日之戰 52%

蜘蛛人：全新一天 45%

飢餓遊戲：收割的黎明 <1%

沙丘：救世主 <1%

Polymarket

$2,232,020 交易量

復仇者聯盟：末日之戰 52%

蜘蛛人：全新一天 45%

飢餓遊戲：收割的黎明 <1%

沙丘：救世主 <1%

Polymarket

$2,232,020 交易量

復仇者聯盟：末日之戰

$378,371 交易量

52%

蜘蛛人：全新一天

$210,306 交易量

45%

飢餓遊戲：收割的黎明

$74,839 交易量

<1%

沙丘：救世主

$166,935 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend, driven by exceptional pre-sales and marketing momentum ahead of its December 18 release.** With over $50 million in advance tickets sold three months out—far exceeding typical benchmarks—and a trailer that generated hundreds of millions of views, the MCU event film benefits from holiday timing, premium-format demand, and crossover appeal from Avengers, X-Men, and Fantastic Four elements. Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which already delivered a franchise-record $360 million-plus opening in July, remains competitive due to its proven audience draw and Tom Holland-led brand strength, though its summer slot and earlier release create less uncertainty for bettors. Dune: Messiah faces the same December date and IMAX allocation challenges, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trails significantly on its November 20 date with more modest franchise expectations. The tight 51.5%–44.5% split reflects uncertainty around final screen counts and whether Doomsday can surpass Spider-Man’s benchmark in a direct holiday clash.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,232,020
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend, driven by exceptional pre-sales and marketing momentum ahead of its December 18 release.** With over $50 million in advance tickets sold three months out—far exceeding typical benchmarks—and a trailer that generated hundreds of millions of views, the MCU event film benefits from holiday timing, premium-format demand, and crossover appeal from Avengers, X-Men, and Fantastic Four elements. Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which already delivered a franchise-record $360 million-plus opening in July, remains competitive due to its proven audience draw and Tom Holland-led brand strength, though its summer slot and earlier release create less uncertainty for bettors. Dune: Messiah faces the same December date and IMAX allocation challenges, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trails significantly on its November 20 date with more modest franchise expectations. The tight 51.5%–44.5% split reflects uncertainty around final screen counts and whether Doomsday can surpass Spider-Man’s benchmark in a direct holiday clash.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,232,020
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

相關

icon for Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

95%
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

64%
icon for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

54%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "復仇者聯盟：末日之戰" at 52%, followed by "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" is "復仇者聯盟：末日之戰" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.