Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

尚未選出龐德 35.6%

傑克·勞登 20.2%

傑克·巴頓 12.0%

卡倫·特納 7.9%

Polymarket

$833,232 交易量

尚未選出龐德 35.6%

傑克·勞登 20.2%

傑克·巴頓 12.0%

卡倫·特納 7.9%

Polymarket

$833,232 交易量

icon for 尚未選出龐德

尚未選出龐德

$380,093 交易量

36%

icon for 傑克·勞登

傑克·勞登

$149,411 交易量

20%

icon for 傑克·巴頓

傑克·巴頓

$37,604 交易量

12%

icon for 卡倫·特納

卡倫·特納

$63,297 交易量

8%

icon for 哈里斯·迪金森

哈里斯·迪金森

$12,461 交易量

2%

icon for 理查·麥登

理查·麥登

$8,673 交易量

2%

icon for 傑克·奧康奈爾

傑克·奧康奈爾

$17,400 交易量

1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$10,096 交易量

1%

icon for 喬許·奧康納

喬許·奧康納

$10,017 交易量

1%

icon for 雅各布·艾洛迪

雅各布·艾洛迪

$12,895 交易量

1%

icon for 亞倫·泰勒-強森

亞倫·泰勒-強森

$20,492 交易量

1%

icon for 提摩西·夏勒梅

提摩西·夏勒梅

$7,619 交易量

<1%

icon for 詹姆斯·諾頓

詹姆斯·諾頓

$12,737 交易量

<1%

icon for 亨利·卡維爾

亨利·卡維爾

$7,405 交易量

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$26,629 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·哈迪

湯姆·哈迪

$9,632 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

$6,453 交易量

<1%

icon for 強納森·貝利

強納森·貝利

$6,671 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·布萊斯

湯姆·布萊斯

$3,585 交易量

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$6,648 交易量

<1%

icon for 皮爾斯·布洛斯南

皮爾斯·布洛斯南

$7,395 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·霍蘭德

湯姆·霍蘭德

$6,777 交易量

<1%

icon for 麥可·B·喬丹

麥可·B·喬丹

$4,249 交易量

<1%

icon for 尼可拉斯·加利齊納

尼可拉斯·加利齊納

$4,993 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing casting process for the next James Bond under Denis Villeneuve and Amazon MGM Studios, with auditions advancing through summer 2026 but no final selection announced, underpins the 35.4% implied probability on "No Bond chosen." Jack Lowden's 20.2% standing reflects recent momentum from co-star Gary Oldman's September 2026 comments highlighting him as a shortlist contender, while Jack Barton's 11.9% and Callum Turner's 7.9% align with earlier reports of callbacks for younger British actors fitting the franchise's multi-film prototype. Pierce Brosnan's September 12 remarks on potentially selecting an unknown further support uncertainty around established names, consistent with the market's broad distribution across unconfirmed frontrunners like Harris Dickinson.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$833,232
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing casting process for the next James Bond under Denis Villeneuve and Amazon MGM Studios, with auditions advancing through summer 2026 but no final selection announced, underpins the 35.4% implied probability on "No Bond chosen." Jack Lowden's 20.2% standing reflects recent momentum from co-star Gary Oldman's September 2026 comments highlighting him as a shortlist contender, while Jack Barton's 11.9% and Callum Turner's 7.9% align with earlier reports of callbacks for younger British actors fitting the franchise's multi-film prototype. Pierce Brosnan's September 12 remarks on potentially selecting an unknown further support uncertainty around established names, consistent with the market's broad distribution across unconfirmed frontrunners like Harris Dickinson.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$833,232
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for Inde Navarrette會成為2026年Google搜尋次數排名前五的演員嗎？

Inde Navarrette會成為2026年Google搜尋次數排名前五的演員嗎？

79%
是
icon for Inde Navarrette 會成為今年在 Google 上被搜尋最多的演員嗎？

Inde Navarrette 會成為今年在 Google 上被搜尋最多的演員嗎？

42%
是
icon for 加文·紐森會在2027年前宣布參選總統嗎？

加文·紐森會在2027年前宣布參選總統嗎？

13%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尚未選出龐德" at 36%, followed by "傑克·勞登" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" has generated $833.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" is "尚未選出龐德" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "傑克·勞登" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.