Neon’s decision to open Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller *Hope* in just 1,560 theaters on a Wednesday outside a holiday frame anchors the 99.9% implied probability for an opening weekend below $6 million. Early tracking and actual grosses—$1.1 million on Wednesday followed by a $595,000 Thursday—align with projections around $2–3.7 million for the full frame, reflecting the challenges of a 160-minute runtime, competition from Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, and the continuing run of *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. While the film earned strong per-theater averages and positive North American reviews after its Cannes premiere, mixed South Korean reception and modest presales limit broader breakout potential. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or audience holdover that exceeds comparable midweek limited releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《希望》周末首映票房
《希望》周末首映票房
低於600萬 99.9%
900萬-1000萬 <1%
600萬至700萬 <1%
700萬-800萬 <1%
$205,269 交易量
$205,269 交易量
2026-09-13
低於600萬
100%
600萬至700萬
<1%
700萬-800萬
<1%
800萬-900萬
<1%
900萬-1000萬
1%
一千萬以上
<1%
低於600萬 99.9%
900萬-1000萬 <1%
600萬至700萬 <1%
700萬-800萬 <1%
$205,269 交易量
$205,269 交易量
2026-09-13
低於600萬
$44,618 交易量
100%
600萬至700萬
$32,185 交易量
<1%
700萬-800萬
$40,488 交易量
<1%
800萬-900萬
$29,475 交易量
<1%
900萬-1000萬
$28,677 交易量
1%
一千萬以上
$29,826 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s decision to open Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller *Hope* in just 1,560 theaters on a Wednesday outside a holiday frame anchors the 99.9% implied probability for an opening weekend below $6 million. Early tracking and actual grosses—$1.1 million on Wednesday followed by a $595,000 Thursday—align with projections around $2–3.7 million for the full frame, reflecting the challenges of a 160-minute runtime, competition from Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, and the continuing run of *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. While the film earned strong per-theater averages and positive North American reviews after its Cannes premiere, mixed South Korean reception and modest presales limit broader breakout potential. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or audience holdover that exceeds comparable midweek limited releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$205,269結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s decision to open Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller *Hope* in just 1,560 theaters on a Wednesday outside a holiday frame anchors the 99.9% implied probability for an opening weekend below $6 million. Early tracking and actual grosses—$1.1 million on Wednesday followed by a $595,000 Thursday—align with projections around $2–3.7 million for the full frame, reflecting the challenges of a 160-minute runtime, competition from Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, and the continuing run of *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. While the film earned strong per-theater averages and positive North American reviews after its Cannes premiere, mixed South Korean reception and modest presales limit broader breakout potential. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or audience holdover that exceeds comparable midweek limited releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$205,269結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNeon’s decision to open Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller *Hope* in just 1,560 theaters on a Wednesday outside a holiday frame anchors the 99.9% implied probability for an opening weekend below $6 million. Early tracking and actual grosses—$1.1 million on Wednesday followed by a $595,000 Thursday—align with projections around $2–3.7 million for the full frame, reflecting the challenges of a 160-minute runtime, competition from Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, and the continuing run of *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. While the film earned strong per-theater averages and positive North American reviews after its Cannes premiere, mixed South Korean reception and modest presales limit broader breakout potential. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or audience holdover that exceeds comparable midweek limited releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions