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icon for 塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

icon for 塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名

安德烈·莫拉 31%

Delegado André David 30.2%

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

愛德華多·阿莫林 13%

Polymarket

$29,349 交易量

安德烈·莫拉 31%

Delegado André David 30.2%

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

愛德華多·阿莫林 13%

Polymarket

$29,349 交易量

icon for 安德烈·莫拉

安德烈·莫拉

$5,266 交易量

31%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$3,682 交易量

30%

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$7,450 交易量

24%

icon for 愛德華多·阿莫林

愛德華多·阿莫林

$3,102 交易量

13%

icon for 羅德里戈·瓦拉達雷斯

羅德里戈·瓦拉達雷斯

$1,732 交易量

3%

icon for 艾德瓦爾多

艾德瓦爾多

$1,291 交易量

1%

icon for 德雷加多·亞歷山大

德雷加多·亞歷山大

$2,095 交易量

1%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$1,109 交易量

<1%

icon for 雷納蒂尼亞

雷納蒂尼亞

$1,435 交易量

<1%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$776 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊朗·巴博薩

伊朗·巴博薩

$1,411 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Sergipe shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Delegado André David frequently topping or tying first place while André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rogério Carvalho, and Delegado Alessandro remain tightly grouped behind. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters—often exceeding 20% and reaching 70% in spontaneous responses—keep second-place positioning fluid across surveys from August and early September. Party coalitions, regional strongholds, and overlapping support among center-right and opposition figures sustain the closeness. Late-campaign events such as debates, coalition adjustments, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could reorder the second spot before the October 4 vote. Trader pricing reflects this ongoing uncertainty rather than any decisive lead.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$29,349
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Sergipe shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Delegado André David frequently topping or tying first place while André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rogério Carvalho, and Delegado Alessandro remain tightly grouped behind. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters—often exceeding 20% and reaching 70% in spontaneous responses—keep second-place positioning fluid across surveys from August and early September. Party coalitions, regional strongholds, and overlapping support among center-right and opposition figures sustain the closeness. Late-campaign events such as debates, coalition adjustments, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could reorder the second spot before the October 4 vote. Trader pricing reflects this ongoing uncertainty rather than any decisive lead.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$29,349
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安德烈·莫拉" at 31%, followed by "Delegado André David" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" has generated $29.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" is "安德烈·莫拉" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Delegado André David" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞爾吉佩參議院選舉:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.