**Teresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polls for one Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election, while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain tightly clustered in the battle for second place.** Voters cast two ballots for the state’s two seats, and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates plus high spontaneous undecided rates (around 67% in the August Quaest survey) keep second-place probabilities compressed. Latest Real Time Big Data polling (September 5–9) shows Surita at 25%, followed by Nicoletti at 17%, Rodrigues at 16%, and da Asatur at 15%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back at 9%. Internal PL resource allocation tensions, coalition alignments, and the potential consolidation of undecided or cross-preference votes in the final weeks could reorder the second spot before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Teresa Surita 36%
Nicoletti 33.3%
Helena da Asatur 9.3%
Chico Rodrigues 4.7%
$68,062 交易量
$68,062 交易量
2026-10-04
Teresa Surita
36%
Nicoletti
41%
Helena da Asatur
9%
Chico Rodrigues
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
4%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 36%
Nicoletti 33.3%
Helena da Asatur 9.3%
Chico Rodrigues 4.7%
$68,062 交易量
$68,062 交易量
2026-10-04
Teresa Surita
$21,612 交易量
36%
Nicoletti
$12,095 交易量
41%
Helena da Asatur
$4,834 交易量
9%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,762 交易量
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,162 交易量
4%
Mario Rocha
$820 交易量
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 交易量
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 交易量
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 交易量
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 交易量
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 交易量
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 交易量
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Teresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polls for one Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election, while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain tightly clustered in the battle for second place.**
Voters cast two ballots for the state’s two seats, and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates plus high spontaneous undecided rates (around 67% in the August Quaest survey) keep second-place probabilities compressed. Latest Real Time Big Data polling (September 5–9) shows Surita at 25%, followed by Nicoletti at 17%, Rodrigues at 16%, and da Asatur at 15%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back at 9%. Internal PL resource allocation tensions, coalition alignments, and the potential consolidation of undecided or cross-preference votes in the final weeks could reorder the second spot before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
交易量
$68,062結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Teresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polls for one Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election, while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain tightly clustered in the battle for second place.**
Voters cast two ballots for the state’s two seats, and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates plus high spontaneous undecided rates (around 67% in the August Quaest survey) keep second-place probabilities compressed. Latest Real Time Big Data polling (September 5–9) shows Surita at 25%, followed by Nicoletti at 17%, Rodrigues at 16%, and da Asatur at 15%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back at 9%. Internal PL resource allocation tensions, coalition alignments, and the potential consolidation of undecided or cross-preference votes in the final weeks could reorder the second spot before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$68,062結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET**Teresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polls for one Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election, while Nicoletti (PL), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain tightly clustered in the battle for second place.** Voters cast two ballots for the state’s two seats, and a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates plus high spontaneous undecided rates (around 67% in the August Quaest survey) keep second-place probabilities compressed. Latest Real Time Big Data polling (September 5–9) shows Surita at 25%, followed by Nicoletti at 17%, Rodrigues at 16%, and da Asatur at 15%, with Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back at 9%. Internal PL resource allocation tensions, coalition alignments, and the potential consolidation of undecided or cross-preference votes in the final weeks could reorder the second spot before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions