Recent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP) clustered closely behind in voter intentions for the second position. This tight distribution, alongside lower support for Mariana Carvalho, Acir Gurgacz, and others, sustains trader consensus around Sílvia Cristina at 44.5% implied probability for second place, followed by the two PL candidates. Party alliances, regional turnout patterns, and any late shifts in undecided voters could widen or narrow gaps before ballots close, as each elector selects two names.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Sílvia Cristina 37%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 29.2%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 20%
Mariana Carvalho 10.0%
$31,247 交易量
$31,247 交易量
2026-10-04
Sílvia Cristina
44%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
17%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
19%
Mariana Carvalho
10%
Acir Gurgacz
9%
Aires Mota
2%
Neidinha
<1%
Luciana Oliveira
<1%
Luis Fernando
<1%
Engenheiro Thulio
<1%
Sílvia Cristina 37%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 29.2%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 20%
Mariana Carvalho 10.0%
$31,247 交易量
$31,247 交易量
2026-10-04
Sílvia Cristina
$17,925 交易量
44%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$1,561 交易量
17%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$5,732 交易量
19%
Mariana Carvalho
$1,623 交易量
10%
Acir Gurgacz
$1,131 交易量
9%
Aires Mota
$743 交易量
2%
Neidinha
$405 交易量
<1%
Luciana Oliveira
$458 交易量
<1%
Luis Fernando
$587 交易量
<1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$1,083 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP) clustered closely behind in voter intentions for the second position. This tight distribution, alongside lower support for Mariana Carvalho, Acir Gurgacz, and others, sustains trader consensus around Sílvia Cristina at 44.5% implied probability for second place, followed by the two PL candidates. Party alliances, regional turnout patterns, and any late shifts in undecided voters could widen or narrow gaps before ballots close, as each elector selects two names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
交易量
$31,247結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP) clustered closely behind in voter intentions for the second position. This tight distribution, alongside lower support for Mariana Carvalho, Acir Gurgacz, and others, sustains trader consensus around Sílvia Cristina at 44.5% implied probability for second place, followed by the two PL candidates. Party alliances, regional turnout patterns, and any late shifts in undecided voters could widen or narrow gaps before ballots close, as each elector selects two names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$31,247結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETRecent polling in Rondônia shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Sílvia Cristina (PP) clustered closely behind in voter intentions for the second position. This tight distribution, alongside lower support for Mariana Carvalho, Acir Gurgacz, and others, sustains trader consensus around Sílvia Cristina at 44.5% implied probability for second place, followed by the two PL candidates. Party alliances, regional turnout patterns, and any late shifts in undecided voters could widen or narrow gaps before ballots close, as each elector selects two names.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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