Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for the two Rio Grande do Sul Senate seats, with Manuela d’Ávila (PSOL) at 32.2%, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 29.5%, Paulo Pimenta (PT) at 25.4%, Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) at 21.2%, and Germano Rigotto (MDB) at 20.6% in consolidated first-and-second-choice results. These figures sit within or near the 2.7-point margin of error, reflecting a fragmented field where voters select two names and many remain undecided in spontaneous surveys. Trader pricing for second place aligns with this closeness, as small late shifts in support among the top five contenders or turnout patterns tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race could reorder the finish. The October 4 election leaves limited time for further movement before results finalize the order.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Sanderson 36.2%
馬努埃拉·達維拉 36%
Rigotto 18%
馬塞爾·范·哈特姆 6.6%
$39,118 交易量
$39,118 交易量
2026-10-04
Sanderson
47%
馬努埃拉·達維拉
36%
Rigotto
18%
馬塞爾·范·哈特姆
7%
皮門塔
9%
丹妮拉·穆希雷斯社會主義者
<1%
弗雷德里科·安圖內斯
<1%
盧西亞諾·多·MLB
<1%
米爾頓·卡多索
<1%
Regis Ethur
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
<1%
Ric Jones
<1%
塔尼亞·佩雷斯
<1%
Sanderson 36.2%
馬努埃拉·達維拉 36%
Rigotto 18%
馬塞爾·范·哈特姆 6.6%
$39,118 交易量
$39,118 交易量
2026-10-04
Sanderson
$2,445 交易量
47%
馬努埃拉·達維拉
$9,213 交易量
36%
Rigotto
$5,512 交易量
18%
馬塞爾·范·哈特姆
$11,972 交易量
7%
皮門塔
$3,408 交易量
9%
丹妮拉·穆希雷斯社會主義者
$1,013 交易量
<1%
弗雷德里科·安圖內斯
$753 交易量
<1%
盧西亞諾·多·MLB
$1,089 交易量
<1%
米爾頓·卡多索
$340 交易量
<1%
Regis Ethur
$419 交易量
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
$830 交易量
<1%
Ric Jones
$1,059 交易量
<1%
塔尼亞·佩雷斯
$1,067 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for the two Rio Grande do Sul Senate seats, with Manuela d’Ávila (PSOL) at 32.2%, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 29.5%, Paulo Pimenta (PT) at 25.4%, Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) at 21.2%, and Germano Rigotto (MDB) at 20.6% in consolidated first-and-second-choice results. These figures sit within or near the 2.7-point margin of error, reflecting a fragmented field where voters select two names and many remain undecided in spontaneous surveys. Trader pricing for second place aligns with this closeness, as small late shifts in support among the top five contenders or turnout patterns tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race could reorder the finish. The October 4 election leaves limited time for further movement before results finalize the order.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
交易量
$39,118結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for the two Rio Grande do Sul Senate seats, with Manuela d’Ávila (PSOL) at 32.2%, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 29.5%, Paulo Pimenta (PT) at 25.4%, Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) at 21.2%, and Germano Rigotto (MDB) at 20.6% in consolidated first-and-second-choice results. These figures sit within or near the 2.7-point margin of error, reflecting a fragmented field where voters select two names and many remain undecided in spontaneous surveys. Trader pricing for second place aligns with this closeness, as small late shifts in support among the top five contenders or turnout patterns tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race could reorder the finish. The October 4 election leaves limited time for further movement before results finalize the order.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$39,118結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRecent polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for the two Rio Grande do Sul Senate seats, with Manuela d’Ávila (PSOL) at 32.2%, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 29.5%, Paulo Pimenta (PT) at 25.4%, Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) at 21.2%, and Germano Rigotto (MDB) at 20.6% in consolidated first-and-second-choice results. These figures sit within or near the 2.7-point margin of error, reflecting a fragmented field where voters select two names and many remain undecided in spontaneous surveys. Trader pricing for second place aligns with this closeness, as small late shifts in support among the top five contenders or turnout patterns tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race could reorder the finish. The October 4 election leaves limited time for further movement before results finalize the order.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions