In the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race, where voters select two candidates on October 4 for the state's two open seats, trader consensus prices Zenaide Maia highest for second place amid a fragmented field behind frontrunner Styvenson Valentim. Recent polling aggregates, including Exatus data from mid-September, show Valentim well ahead on summed first-and-second preferences while Maia, Coronel Hélio, Samanda de Lula, and Rafael Motta cluster in the mid-teens to low thirties, reflecting the mechanics of dual voting that compresses margins for the runner-up spot. Incumbency advantages, party coalitions such as Endireita RN and Esperança e Trabalho, and limited late-campaign movement have kept second-place positioning fluid, with no single challenger consolidating support. Further polling shifts, turnout differentials among key regions, or last-minute endorsements could widen gaps before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Zenaide Maia 58%
薩曼達·德·魯拉 22%
拉斐爾·莫塔 16.8%
Styvenson Valentim 5.8%
$26,461 交易量
$26,461 交易量
2026-10-04
Zenaide Maia
58%
薩曼達·德·魯拉
22%
拉斐爾·莫塔
17%
Styvenson Valentim
6%
Coronel Hélio
3%
盧西安娜·曼杜
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
吉列爾梅教授
<1%
羅薩莉亞·費爾南德斯
<1%
特西奧·蒂諾科
<1%
加里·溫德爾·巴蒂斯塔
<1%
林納雷斯·吉博亞
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
索尼婭·戈代羅
<1%
Zenaide Maia 58%
薩曼達·德·魯拉 22%
拉斐爾·莫塔 16.8%
Styvenson Valentim 5.8%
$26,461 交易量
$26,461 交易量
2026-10-04
Zenaide Maia
$4,057 交易量
58%
薩曼達·德·魯拉
$9,168 交易量
22%
拉斐爾·莫塔
$3,799 交易量
17%
Styvenson Valentim
$2,552 交易量
6%
Coronel Hélio
$876 交易量
3%
盧西安娜·曼杜
$730 交易量
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$671 交易量
<1%
吉列爾梅教授
$666 交易量
<1%
羅薩莉亞·費爾南德斯
$775 交易量
<1%
特西奧·蒂諾科
$767 交易量
<1%
加里·溫德爾·巴蒂斯塔
$511 交易量
<1%
林納雷斯·吉博亞
$715 交易量
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$585 交易量
<1%
索尼婭·戈代羅
$590 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race, where voters select two candidates on October 4 for the state's two open seats, trader consensus prices Zenaide Maia highest for second place amid a fragmented field behind frontrunner Styvenson Valentim. Recent polling aggregates, including Exatus data from mid-September, show Valentim well ahead on summed first-and-second preferences while Maia, Coronel Hélio, Samanda de Lula, and Rafael Motta cluster in the mid-teens to low thirties, reflecting the mechanics of dual voting that compresses margins for the runner-up spot. Incumbency advantages, party coalitions such as Endireita RN and Esperança e Trabalho, and limited late-campaign movement have kept second-place positioning fluid, with no single challenger consolidating support. Further polling shifts, turnout differentials among key regions, or last-minute endorsements could widen gaps before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
交易量
$26,461結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race, where voters select two candidates on October 4 for the state's two open seats, trader consensus prices Zenaide Maia highest for second place amid a fragmented field behind frontrunner Styvenson Valentim. Recent polling aggregates, including Exatus data from mid-September, show Valentim well ahead on summed first-and-second preferences while Maia, Coronel Hélio, Samanda de Lula, and Rafael Motta cluster in the mid-teens to low thirties, reflecting the mechanics of dual voting that compresses margins for the runner-up spot. Incumbency advantages, party coalitions such as Endireita RN and Esperança e Trabalho, and limited late-campaign movement have kept second-place positioning fluid, with no single challenger consolidating support. Further polling shifts, turnout differentials among key regions, or last-minute endorsements could widen gaps before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$26,461結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETIn the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race, where voters select two candidates on October 4 for the state's two open seats, trader consensus prices Zenaide Maia highest for second place amid a fragmented field behind frontrunner Styvenson Valentim. Recent polling aggregates, including Exatus data from mid-September, show Valentim well ahead on summed first-and-second preferences while Maia, Coronel Hélio, Samanda de Lula, and Rafael Motta cluster in the mid-teens to low thirties, reflecting the mechanics of dual voting that compresses margins for the runner-up spot. Incumbency advantages, party coalitions such as Endireita RN and Esperança e Trabalho, and limited late-campaign movement have kept second-place positioning fluid, with no single challenger consolidating support. Further polling shifts, turnout differentials among key regions, or last-minute endorsements could widen gaps before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions