Mixed critical reception has anchored trader expectations for a modest debut, with Rotten Tomatoes scores hovering near 35% and a Metacritic of 45 signaling limited word-of-mouth beyond core fans. Nostalgia for the 1998 original, strong presales among women over 25, and the return of Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman provide a solid floor, while Warner Bros.’ internal $30–35 million forecast and independent tracking in the low-to-mid $40 millions reflect the tempered outlook. Minimal September competition helps the $75 million production claim the top spot over Spider-Man: Brand New Day, yet the mixed reviews and post-Labor Day timing cap upside. Market-implied odds heavily weight sub-$38 million results ahead of the September 10–11 opening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《實用魔法2》首映週末票房
少於3,800萬 65%
3,800萬-4,100萬 21.9%
4100萬-4400萬 12%
4700萬-5100萬 2.0%
$17,678 交易量
$17,678 交易量
少於3,800萬
65%
3,800萬-4,100萬
22%
4100萬-4400萬
12%
4,400萬至4,700萬
1%
4700萬-5100萬
2%
5100萬以上
<1%
少於3,800萬 65%
3,800萬-4,100萬 21.9%
4100萬-4400萬 12%
4700萬-5100萬 2.0%
$17,678 交易量
$17,678 交易量
少於3,800萬
65%
3,800萬-4,100萬
22%
4100萬-4400萬
12%
4,400萬至4,700萬
1%
4700萬-5100萬
2%
5100萬以上
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mixed critical reception has anchored trader expectations for a modest debut, with Rotten Tomatoes scores hovering near 35% and a Metacritic of 45 signaling limited word-of-mouth beyond core fans. Nostalgia for the 1998 original, strong presales among women over 25, and the return of Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman provide a solid floor, while Warner Bros.’ internal $30–35 million forecast and independent tracking in the low-to-mid $40 millions reflect the tempered outlook. Minimal September competition helps the $75 million production claim the top spot over Spider-Man: Brand New Day, yet the mixed reviews and post-Labor Day timing cap upside. Market-implied odds heavily weight sub-$38 million results ahead of the September 10–11 opening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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