Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 1st congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 5.5-point margin there in 2024 and Stansbury's prior victories. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, but Stansbury maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared to challenger Didi Okpareke's roughly $100,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her strong reelection prospects. Late developments such as national political shifts, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout variations could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,540 交易量
$36,540 交易量
2026-11-02
梅蘭妮·斯坦斯伯里（民主黨）
94%
Didi Okpareke（共和黨）
6%
$36,540 交易量
$36,540 交易量
2026-11-02
梅蘭妮·斯坦斯伯里（民主黨）
$19,024 交易量
94%
Didi Okpareke（共和黨）
$17,515 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 1st congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 5.5-point margin there in 2024 and Stansbury's prior victories. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, but Stansbury maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared to challenger Didi Okpareke's roughly $100,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her strong reelection prospects. Late developments such as national political shifts, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout variations could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$36,540結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 1st congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 5.5-point margin there in 2024 and Stansbury's prior victories. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, but Stansbury maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared to challenger Didi Okpareke's roughly $100,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her strong reelection prospects. Late developments such as national political shifts, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout variations could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,540結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETMelanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 1st congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 5.5-point margin there in 2024 and Stansbury's prior victories. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, but Stansbury maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared to challenger Didi Okpareke's roughly $100,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her strong reelection prospects. Late developments such as national political shifts, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout variations could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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