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icon for 魁北克下一任總理
選舉·全球選舉

魁北克下一任總理

icon for 魁北克下一任總理
選舉·全球選舉

魁北克下一任總理

保羅·聖皮耶-普拉蒙東 80%

克莉絲汀·弗雷謝特 11.7%

查爾斯·米利亞爾 2.6%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$331,203 交易量

保羅·聖皮耶-普拉蒙東 80%

克莉絲汀·弗雷謝特 11.7%

查爾斯·米利亞爾 2.6%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$331,203 交易量

icon for 保羅·聖皮耶-普拉蒙東

保羅·聖皮耶-普拉蒙東

$24,862 交易量

80%

icon for 克莉絲汀·弗雷謝特

克莉絲汀·弗雷謝特

$81,905 交易量

12%

icon for 查爾斯·米利亞爾

查爾斯·米利亞爾

$21,177 交易量

3%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$61,577 交易量

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$38,807 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃里克·杜海姆

埃里克·杜海姆

$49,514 交易量

<1%

icon for 索爾·扎內蒂

索爾·扎內蒂

$53,362 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier due to the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling advantage and favorable seat projections entering the October 5 general election. The party has held the top position in most surveys since 2024, drawing support concentrated among francophone voters on issues including sovereignty timing, health system reform, and provincial autonomy. Christine Fréchette’s April 2026 ascension to CAQ leadership and premiership, followed by the August election call, has not reversed the governing party’s earlier decline. Charles Milliard’s Liberals remain a secondary factor in seat math. Recent leaders’ debates and volatile undecided voter shares introduce some uncertainty, yet the implied probability aligns with models showing the PQ positioned to form government.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$331,203
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier due to the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling advantage and favorable seat projections entering the October 5 general election. The party has held the top position in most surveys since 2024, drawing support concentrated among francophone voters on issues including sovereignty timing, health system reform, and provincial autonomy. Christine Fréchette’s April 2026 ascension to CAQ leadership and premiership, followed by the August election call, has not reversed the governing party’s earlier decline. Charles Milliard’s Liberals remain a secondary factor in seat math. Recent leaders’ debates and volatile undecided voter shares introduce some uncertainty, yet the implied probability aligns with models showing the PQ positioned to form government.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$331,203
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"魁北克下一任總理" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "保羅·聖皮耶-普拉蒙東" at 80%, followed by "克莉絲汀·弗雷謝特" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "魁北克下一任總理" has generated $331.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "魁北克下一任總理," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "魁北克下一任總理" is "保羅·聖皮耶-普拉蒙東" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "克莉絲汀·弗雷謝特" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "魁北克下一任總理" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.