Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of roughly five to seven points over the Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Conservative Party of Quebec trailing further behind. This positioning has translated into seat projections that give the PQ an 80-87% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5 election, though a majority remains unlikely. The CAQ, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has narrowed the gap somewhat during the campaign that began August 27, aided by regional strength and voter focus on economic pressures including U.S. tariffs. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained support among francophone voters and its stance on sovereignty, while smaller parties remain marginal in seat forecasts. Upcoming leaders' debates represent the main scheduled events that could still shift momentum before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魁北克黨 74%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 22%
魁北克自由黨 1.6%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$898,927 交易量
$898,927 交易量
2026-10-04
魁北克黨
74%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
22%
魁北克自由黨
2%
魁北克保守黨
<1%
魁團
<1%
魁北克綠黨
<1%
魁北克黨 74%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 22%
魁北克自由黨 1.6%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$898,927 交易量
$898,927 交易量
2026-10-04
魁北克黨
$123,202 交易量
74%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
$137,982 交易量
22%
魁北克自由黨
$124,367 交易量
2%
魁北克保守黨
$249,330 交易量
<1%
魁團
$106,523 交易量
<1%
魁北克綠黨
$157,522 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of roughly five to seven points over the Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Conservative Party of Quebec trailing further behind. This positioning has translated into seat projections that give the PQ an 80-87% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5 election, though a majority remains unlikely. The CAQ, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has narrowed the gap somewhat during the campaign that began August 27, aided by regional strength and voter focus on economic pressures including U.S. tariffs. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained support among francophone voters and its stance on sovereignty, while smaller parties remain marginal in seat forecasts. Upcoming leaders' debates represent the main scheduled events that could still shift momentum before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$898,927結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of roughly five to seven points over the Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Conservative Party of Quebec trailing further behind. This positioning has translated into seat projections that give the PQ an 80-87% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5 election, though a majority remains unlikely. The CAQ, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has narrowed the gap somewhat during the campaign that began August 27, aided by regional strength and voter focus on economic pressures including U.S. tariffs. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained support among francophone voters and its stance on sovereignty, while smaller parties remain marginal in seat forecasts. Upcoming leaders' debates represent the main scheduled events that could still shift momentum before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$898,927結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRecent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead of roughly five to seven points over the Coalition Avenir Québec, with the Quebec Liberal Party and Conservative Party of Quebec trailing further behind. This positioning has translated into seat projections that give the PQ an 80-87% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5 election, though a majority remains unlikely. The CAQ, under new leader Christine Fréchette, has narrowed the gap somewhat during the campaign that began August 27, aided by regional strength and voter focus on economic pressures including U.S. tariffs. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained support among francophone voters and its stance on sovereignty, while smaller parties remain marginal in seat forecasts. Upcoming leaders' debates represent the main scheduled events that could still shift momentum before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions