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icon for 下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？
政治·南非

下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？

icon for 下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？
政治·南非

下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？

Cilliers Brink 62%

納西皮·莫亞 22%

Chana Pilane-Majake 6.3%

Patience Moropa 5.7%

Polymarket

$23,313 交易量

Cilliers Brink 62%

納西皮·莫亞 22%

Chana Pilane-Majake 6.3%

Patience Moropa 5.7%

Polymarket

$23,313 交易量

icon for Cilliers Brink

Cilliers Brink

$15,798 交易量

62%

icon for 納西皮·莫亞

納西皮·莫亞

$4,673 交易量

22%

icon for Chana Pilane-Majake

Chana Pilane-Majake

$99 交易量

6%

icon for Patience Moropa

Patience Moropa

$348 交易量

6%

icon for Aaron Maluleka

Aaron Maluleka

$381 交易量

5%

icon for Tlangi Mogale

Tlangi Mogale

$814 交易量

4%

icon for Phumeza Mangcu

Phumeza Mangcu

$98 交易量

4%

icon for Kgoši Maepa

Kgoši Maepa

$159 交易量

2%

icon for Omphile Maotwe

Omphile Maotwe

$942 交易量

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilliers Brink, the Democratic Alliance’s mayoral candidate and former Tshwane mayor, leads trader pricing ahead of the 4 November 2026 local government elections, reflecting recent polls showing the DA at 31–43% support in the metro—well ahead of the ANC and other parties. Brink’s aggressive campaign has emphasized anti-corruption measures, infrastructure repair, crime-fighting technology, and public-private partnerships while highlighting service-delivery shortfalls, water losses, idle emergency vehicles, and alleged political interference in jobs under the current multiparty coalition led by incumbent Nasiphi Moya of ActionSA. Moya’s administration, backed by ANC and EFF partners, faces criticism over stalled projects and coalition tensions, contributing to her lower implied probability. ANC shortlisted contenders such as Aaron Maluleka, Tlangi Mogale, and others remain fragmented without a finalized frontrunner, while EFF candidate Omphile Maotwe registers minimal support. Election outcomes will hinge on final vote shares, coalition negotiations, and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,313
結束日期
2026-11-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilliers Brink, the Democratic Alliance’s mayoral candidate and former Tshwane mayor, leads trader pricing ahead of the 4 November 2026 local government elections, reflecting recent polls showing the DA at 31–43% support in the metro—well ahead of the ANC and other parties. Brink’s aggressive campaign has emphasized anti-corruption measures, infrastructure repair, crime-fighting technology, and public-private partnerships while highlighting service-delivery shortfalls, water losses, idle emergency vehicles, and alleged political interference in jobs under the current multiparty coalition led by incumbent Nasiphi Moya of ActionSA. Moya’s administration, backed by ANC and EFF partners, faces criticism over stalled projects and coalition tensions, contributing to her lower implied probability. ANC shortlisted contenders such as Aaron Maluleka, Tlangi Mogale, and others remain fragmented without a finalized frontrunner, while EFF candidate Omphile Maotwe registers minimal support. Election outcomes will hinge on final vote shares, coalition negotiations, and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,313
結束日期
2026-11-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cilliers Brink" at 62%, followed by "納西皮·莫亞" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？" is "Cilliers Brink" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "納西皮·莫亞" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任茨瓦內市長（比勒陀利亞） ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.