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icon for EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？
政治·南非

EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？

icon for EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？
政治·南非

EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？

Haniff Hoosen 30%

Mkhuleko Hlengwa 28%

使徒 Mxolisi Phakathi 16.6%

薩巴尼·尼亞沃塞 16%

Polymarket

$26,846 交易量

Haniff Hoosen 30%

Mkhuleko Hlengwa 28%

使徒 Mxolisi Phakathi 16.6%

薩巴尼·尼亞沃塞 16%

Polymarket

$26,846 交易量

icon for Haniff Hoosen

Haniff Hoosen

$5,502 交易量

30%

icon for Mkhuleko Hlengwa

Mkhuleko Hlengwa

$1,999 交易量

28%

icon for 使徒 Mxolisi Phakathi

使徒 Mxolisi Phakathi

$155 交易量

17%

icon for 薩巴尼·尼亞沃塞

薩巴尼·尼亞沃塞

$448 交易量

16%

icon for 贊迪萊·赫洛佩-姆克瓦納齊

贊迪萊·赫洛佩-姆克瓦納齊

$2,235 交易量

6%

icon for Philani Mavundla

Philani Mavundla

$189 交易量

4%

icon for Cyril Xaba

Cyril Xaba

$8,622 交易量

4%

icon for 贊迪萊·古梅德

贊迪萊·古梅德

$2,020 交易量

1%

icon for 瑪姬·高文德

瑪姬·高文德

$230 交易量

1%

icon for Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi

Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi

$276 交易量

<1%

icon for Zwakele Mncwango

Zwakele Mncwango

$3,218 交易量

<1%

icon for 米娜·索馬-萊索馬

米娜·索馬-萊索馬

$933 交易量

<1%

icon for Nomusa Dube-Ncube

Nomusa Dube-Ncube

$1,021 交易量

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent candidate adjustments and internal party disputes within the MK Party, including the replacement of Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi with Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi amid allegations of list manipulation, have contributed to uncertainty ahead of the November 4 local government elections. Polling shows the MK Party leading in eThekwini, yet the DA’s Haniff Hoosen and IFP’s Mkhuleko Hlengwa remain competitive as traders weigh coalition scenarios and ANC fragmentation. Multiple ANC figures such as Cyril Xaba and Thabani Nyawose appear on party lists without a single confirmed mayoral nominee, while lower-priced options like Zandile Gumede reflect limited momentum. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities across frontrunners, with potential separation likely from final voter turnout patterns, manifesto launches, or further MK leadership developments before election day.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,846
結束日期
2026-11-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent candidate adjustments and internal party disputes within the MK Party, including the replacement of Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi with Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi amid allegations of list manipulation, have contributed to uncertainty ahead of the November 4 local government elections. Polling shows the MK Party leading in eThekwini, yet the DA’s Haniff Hoosen and IFP’s Mkhuleko Hlengwa remain competitive as traders weigh coalition scenarios and ANC fragmentation. Multiple ANC figures such as Cyril Xaba and Thabani Nyawose appear on party lists without a single confirmed mayoral nominee, while lower-priced options like Zandile Gumede reflect limited momentum. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities across frontrunners, with potential separation likely from final voter turnout patterns, manifesto launches, or further MK leadership developments before election day.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,846
結束日期
2026-11-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Haniff Hoosen" at 30%, followed by "Mkhuleko Hlengwa" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？" has generated $26.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？" is "Haniff Hoosen" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mkhuleko Hlengwa" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "EThekwini （德班）的下一任市長？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.