Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$117,455 交易量
$117,455 交易量
2026-11-02
Trent Kelly（共和黨）
95%
Cliff Johnson（民主黨）
4%
$117,455 交易量
$117,455 交易量
2026-11-02
Trent Kelly（共和黨）
$85,217 交易量
95%
Cliff Johnson（民主黨）
$32,239 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$117,455結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$117,455結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETTrent Kelly, the Republican incumbent since 2015, maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in an R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 2024 general election margin exceeding 39 points. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the frontrunner aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Scenarios that could narrow the outcome include a substantial national Democratic surge, a significant scandal affecting Kelly, or unusually elevated challenger turnout, though such factors have not materialized in prior cycles for this northeastern Mississippi district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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