Jason Smith holds a commanding position in the Missouri 8th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent since 2013, Smith secured an easy Republican primary win in August 2026 and maintains substantial fundraising leads. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in this rural southeastern district. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or extreme national swing could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,136 交易量
$46,136 交易量
2026-11-02
傑森·史密斯（共和黨）
96%
Chris Reichard（民主黨）
4%
$46,136 交易量
$46,136 交易量
2026-11-02
傑森·史密斯（共和黨）
$27,583 交易量
96%
Chris Reichard（民主黨）
$18,553 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jason Smith holds a commanding position in the Missouri 8th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent since 2013, Smith secured an easy Republican primary win in August 2026 and maintains substantial fundraising leads. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in this rural southeastern district. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or extreme national swing could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$46,136結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jason Smith holds a commanding position in the Missouri 8th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent since 2013, Smith secured an easy Republican primary win in August 2026 and maintains substantial fundraising leads. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in this rural southeastern district. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or extreme national swing could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,136結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETJason Smith holds a commanding position in the Missouri 8th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the long-serving incumbent since 2013, Smith secured an easy Republican primary win in August 2026 and maintains substantial fundraising leads. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in this rural southeastern district. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or extreme national swing could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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