Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,398 交易量
$24,398 交易量
2026-11-02
克韋西·姆福梅（民主黨）
97%
Scott Collier（共和黨）
2%
$24,398 交易量
$24,398 交易量
2026-11-02
克韋西·姆福梅（民主黨）
$15,273 交易量
97%
Scott Collier（共和黨）
$9,125 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$24,398結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,398結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETKweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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