Janaina Riva (MDB) leads trader expectations for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling that places her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. Recent surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time MT show Mendes above 50 percent in stimulated scenarios while Riva holds roughly 30 percent, with José Medeiros, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques trailing in the middle tier. Riva’s August convention launch, her three terms as state deputy, and stronger support among women have reinforced her positioning for the second seat. Elevated undecided voters above 50 percent in spontaneous polls leave room for movement, yet the stable two-candidate dynamic in the latest data supports the current market pricing ahead of the single-round vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於雅娜伊娜·里瓦 76%
毛羅·門德斯 18%
Jose Medeiros 5.6%
佩德羅·塔克斯 2.6%
$23,410 交易量
$23,410 交易量
2026-10-04
雅娜伊娜·里瓦
76%
毛羅·門德斯
18%
Jose Medeiros
6%
佩德羅·塔克斯
3%
法瓦羅
2%
瑪格麗絲·布澤蒂
<1%
費雷拉教授
<1%
達爾文上校
<1%
加爾萬
<1%
Beny Godoy
<1%
雅娜伊娜·里瓦 76%
毛羅·門德斯 18%
Jose Medeiros 5.6%
佩德羅·塔克斯 2.6%
$23,410 交易量
$23,410 交易量
2026-10-04
雅娜伊娜·里瓦
$12,802 交易量
76%
毛羅·門德斯
$6,281 交易量
18%
Jose Medeiros
$601 交易量
6%
佩德羅·塔克斯
$634 交易量
3%
法瓦羅
$542 交易量
2%
瑪格麗絲·布澤蒂
$495 交易量
<1%
費雷拉教授
$491 交易量
<1%
達爾文上校
$491 交易量
<1%
加爾萬
$570 交易量
<1%
Beny Godoy
$502 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Janaina Riva (MDB) leads trader expectations for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling that places her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. Recent surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time MT show Mendes above 50 percent in stimulated scenarios while Riva holds roughly 30 percent, with José Medeiros, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques trailing in the middle tier. Riva’s August convention launch, her three terms as state deputy, and stronger support among women have reinforced her positioning for the second seat. Elevated undecided voters above 50 percent in spontaneous polls leave room for movement, yet the stable two-candidate dynamic in the latest data supports the current market pricing ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$23,410結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Janaina Riva (MDB) leads trader expectations for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling that places her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. Recent surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time MT show Mendes above 50 percent in stimulated scenarios while Riva holds roughly 30 percent, with José Medeiros, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques trailing in the middle tier. Riva’s August convention launch, her three terms as state deputy, and stronger support among women have reinforced her positioning for the second seat. Elevated undecided voters above 50 percent in spontaneous polls leave room for movement, yet the stable two-candidate dynamic in the latest data supports the current market pricing ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$23,410結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETJanaina Riva (MDB) leads trader expectations for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent polling that places her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. Recent surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time MT show Mendes above 50 percent in stimulated scenarios while Riva holds roughly 30 percent, with José Medeiros, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques trailing in the middle tier. Riva’s August convention launch, her three terms as state deputy, and stronger support among women have reinforced her positioning for the second seat. Elevated undecided voters above 50 percent in spontaneous polls leave room for movement, yet the stable two-candidate dynamic in the latest data supports the current market pricing ahead of the single-round vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions