**Capitão Contar holds the strongest position for second place in Mato Grosso do Sul’s October 4 Senate election, backed by his PL alliance with frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja and consistent polling leads over other contenders.** Recent surveys through mid-September show Azambuja and Contar combining for the two seats, with Contar typically second at 22-29% in stimulated scenarios while Vander Loubet and Soraya Thronicke trail in the low-to-mid teens. Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate consolidated the center-right bloc, leaving the PT and PSB candidates running separately without a joint ticket. Low single-digit support for the remaining registered names, including minor-party entrants, has produced little movement in the final weeks, leaving trader consensus focused on Contar’s path to the second vacancy absent late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於卡皮唐·孔塔爾 55%
范德·盧貝特 23%
索拉婭 21.2%
雷納爾多·阿桑布賈 3.4%
$23,144 交易量
$23,144 交易量
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·孔塔爾
55%
范德·盧貝特
23%
索拉婭
21%
雷納爾多·阿桑布賈
3%
瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭
<1%
Luiz Lemes
<1%
Beto do Movimento
<1%
丹尼爾·朱尼奧
<1%
羅伯托·大城
<1%
Valderi Garcia
<1%
卡皮唐·孔塔爾 55%
范德·盧貝特 23%
索拉婭 21.2%
雷納爾多·阿桑布賈 3.4%
$23,144 交易量
$23,144 交易量
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·孔塔爾
$8,788 交易量
55%
范德·盧貝特
$6,661 交易量
23%
索拉婭
$2,720 交易量
21%
雷納爾多·阿桑布賈
$1,057 交易量
3%
瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭
$719 交易量
<1%
Luiz Lemes
$792 交易量
<1%
Beto do Movimento
$684 交易量
<1%
丹尼爾·朱尼奧
$497 交易量
<1%
羅伯托·大城
$782 交易量
<1%
Valderi Garcia
$444 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Capitão Contar holds the strongest position for second place in Mato Grosso do Sul’s October 4 Senate election, backed by his PL alliance with frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja and consistent polling leads over other contenders.**
Recent surveys through mid-September show Azambuja and Contar combining for the two seats, with Contar typically second at 22-29% in stimulated scenarios while Vander Loubet and Soraya Thronicke trail in the low-to-mid teens. Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate consolidated the center-right bloc, leaving the PT and PSB candidates running separately without a joint ticket. Low single-digit support for the remaining registered names, including minor-party entrants, has produced little movement in the final weeks, leaving trader consensus focused on Contar’s path to the second vacancy absent late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$23,144結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Capitão Contar holds the strongest position for second place in Mato Grosso do Sul’s October 4 Senate election, backed by his PL alliance with frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja and consistent polling leads over other contenders.**
Recent surveys through mid-September show Azambuja and Contar combining for the two seats, with Contar typically second at 22-29% in stimulated scenarios while Vander Loubet and Soraya Thronicke trail in the low-to-mid teens. Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate consolidated the center-right bloc, leaving the PT and PSB candidates running separately without a joint ticket. Low single-digit support for the remaining registered names, including minor-party entrants, has produced little movement in the final weeks, leaving trader consensus focused on Contar’s path to the second vacancy absent late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$23,144結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET**Capitão Contar holds the strongest position for second place in Mato Grosso do Sul’s October 4 Senate election, backed by his PL alliance with frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja and consistent polling leads over other contenders.** Recent surveys through mid-September show Azambuja and Contar combining for the two seats, with Contar typically second at 22-29% in stimulated scenarios while Vander Loubet and Soraya Thronicke trail in the low-to-mid teens. Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate consolidated the center-right bloc, leaving the PT and PSB candidates running separately without a joint ticket. Low single-digit support for the remaining registered names, including minor-party entrants, has produced little movement in the final weeks, leaving trader consensus focused on Contar’s path to the second vacancy absent late shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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