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icon for 馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名

馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名

icon for 馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名

馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名

Roseana Sarney 62%

Lahesio Bonfim 11.7%

Weverton Rocha 7.5%

Fufuca 6.8%

Polymarket

$26,133 交易量

Roseana Sarney 62%

Lahesio Bonfim 11.7%

Weverton Rocha 7.5%

Fufuca 6.8%

Polymarket

$26,133 交易量

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$16,918 交易量

62%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$3,795 交易量

12%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$2,252 交易量

8%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$527 交易量

7%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$391 交易量

1%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$412 交易量

<1%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$395 交易量

<1%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$367 交易量

<1%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$389 交易量

<1%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$405 交易量

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$282 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, backed by her strong name recognition as a former governor and senator, family political legacy, and backing from the Avanço por Todo Maranhão coalition that includes the PDT. Recent August polls, including Quaest and IPPI surveys, consistently place her well ahead of rivals such as Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT), who remain clustered in a tighter contest for the second seat. With the October 4 election three weeks away and each voter selecting up to two candidates, her positioning reflects sustained polling momentum and limited late shifts among the eleven registered contenders. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while leaving room for turnout or alliance developments to influence final ordering.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$26,133
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, backed by her strong name recognition as a former governor and senator, family political legacy, and backing from the Avanço por Todo Maranhão coalition that includes the PDT. Recent August polls, including Quaest and IPPI surveys, consistently place her well ahead of rivals such as Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT), who remain clustered in a tighter contest for the second seat. With the October 4 election three weeks away and each voter selecting up to two candidates, her positioning reflects sustained polling momentum and limited late shifts among the eleven registered contenders. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while leaving room for turnout or alliance developments to influence final ordering.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$26,133
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Roseana Sarney" at 62%, followed by "Lahesio Bonfim" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名" has generated $26.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名" is "Roseana Sarney" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lahesio Bonfim" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬拉尼昂州參議院選舉:第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.