Official National Weather Service observations for Central Park and nearby NYC stations recorded a minimum temperature of 65°F on September 20, 2026, under overcast skies with light rain and northerly winds that prevented further cooling overnight. This reading aligns precisely with the 64-65°F bin, producing the near-certain market-implied odds as traders incorporated verified climatological data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 60°F and recent model guidance had allowed for a wider range, yet persistent cloud cover and moisture kept temperatures elevated. Resolution hinges on final NWS climatological reports; revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes remain rare once preliminary data stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$15,316 交易量
$15,316 交易量
2026-09-20
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63華氏度
否
64-65°F
是
66-67°F
否
68-69華氏度
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74度或更高
否
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$15,316 交易量
$15,316 交易量
2026-09-20
55°F或以下
$41 交易量
否
56-57°F
$31 交易量
否
58-59°F
$962 交易量
否
60-61°F
$230 交易量
否
62-63華氏度
$2,858 交易量
否
64-65°F
$2,198 交易量
是
66-67°F
$6,635 交易量
否
68-69華氏度
$2,235 交易量
否
70-71°F
$51 交易量
否
72-73°F
$31 交易量
否
華氏74度或更高
$44 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for Central Park and nearby NYC stations recorded a minimum temperature of 65°F on September 20, 2026, under overcast skies with light rain and northerly winds that prevented further cooling overnight. This reading aligns precisely with the 64-65°F bin, producing the near-certain market-implied odds as traders incorporated verified climatological data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 60°F and recent model guidance had allowed for a wider range, yet persistent cloud cover and moisture kept temperatures elevated. Resolution hinges on final NWS climatological reports; revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes remain rare once preliminary data stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$15,316結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for Central Park and nearby NYC stations recorded a minimum temperature of 65°F on September 20, 2026, under overcast skies with light rain and northerly winds that prevented further cooling overnight. This reading aligns precisely with the 64-65°F bin, producing the near-certain market-implied odds as traders incorporated verified climatological data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 60°F and recent model guidance had allowed for a wider range, yet persistent cloud cover and moisture kept temperatures elevated. Resolution hinges on final NWS climatological reports; revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes remain rare once preliminary data stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,316結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations for Central Park and nearby NYC stations recorded a minimum temperature of 65°F on September 20, 2026, under overcast skies with light rain and northerly winds that prevented further cooling overnight. This reading aligns precisely with the 64-65°F bin, producing the near-certain market-implied odds as traders incorporated verified climatological data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 60°F and recent model guidance had allowed for a wider range, yet persistent cloud cover and moisture kept temperatures elevated. Resolution hinges on final NWS climatological reports; revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes remain rare once preliminary data stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions