**The dominant 68-69°F bin at 98% implied probability reflects official minimum temperature observations from Los Angeles stations, primarily Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a low in that narrow range overnight into September 14, 2026.** Late-summer marine layer influence and light onshore flow maintained mild overnight conditions near the seasonal average low of ~64°F, with no significant synoptic cooling or heat advection altering the outcome. Forecast models had converged on mid-to-upper 60s readings in the days prior, aligning trader consensus with verified data rather than projections. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding criteria used by the market; minor discrepancies in microclimate readings or alternative urban stations could theoretically shift the result, though historical consistency and real-time monitoring make such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日洛杉磯的最低溫度?
68-69°F 100.0%
62-63°F 1.0%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
$12,346 交易量
$12,346 交易量
59°F或以下
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
華氏78度或更高
否
68-69°F 100.0%
62-63°F 1.0%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
$12,346 交易量
$12,346 交易量
59°F或以下
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
華氏78度或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**The dominant 68-69°F bin at 98% implied probability reflects official minimum temperature observations from Los Angeles stations, primarily Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a low in that narrow range overnight into September 14, 2026.** Late-summer marine layer influence and light onshore flow maintained mild overnight conditions near the seasonal average low of ~64°F, with no significant synoptic cooling or heat advection altering the outcome. Forecast models had converged on mid-to-upper 60s readings in the days prior, aligning trader consensus with verified data rather than projections. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding criteria used by the market; minor discrepancies in microclimate readings or alternative urban stations could theoretically shift the result, though historical consistency and real-time monitoring make such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions