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icon for 高雄市市長選舉優勝者

高雄市市長選舉優勝者

icon for 高雄市市長選舉優勝者

高雄市市長選舉優勝者

賴瑞隆 76%

柯志恩 23.5%

張清 1.1%

許智傑 <1%

Polymarket

$11,387 交易量

賴瑞隆 76%

柯志恩 23.5%

張清 1.1%

許智傑 <1%

Polymarket

$11,387 交易量

icon for 賴瑞隆

賴瑞隆

$6,454 交易量

76%

icon for 柯志恩

柯志恩

$2,819 交易量

24%

icon for 張清

張清

$703 交易量

1%

icon for 許智傑

許智傑

$516 交易量

1%

icon for 林岱樺

林岱樺

$445 交易量

<1%

icon for 邱議瑩

邱議瑩

$450 交易量

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP lean, his January primary victory, and consistent polling advantages over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Recent surveys show Lai ahead by double digits in telephone polls and narrower margins in some online samples, with undecided voters remaining a factor. Both campaigns have intensified grassroots efforts and policy outreach on youth employment, housing, and social services ahead of the vote, while party leaders on each side have mobilized support. Ko has focused on consolidating opposition and independent voters, but the structural and polling environment continues to favor the DPP contender in this race.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$11,387
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP lean, his January primary victory, and consistent polling advantages over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Recent surveys show Lai ahead by double digits in telephone polls and narrower margins in some online samples, with undecided voters remaining a factor. Both campaigns have intensified grassroots efforts and policy outreach on youth employment, housing, and social services ahead of the vote, while party leaders on each side have mobilized support. Ko has focused on consolidating opposition and independent voters, but the structural and polling environment continues to favor the DPP contender in this race.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$11,387
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"高雄市市長選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "賴瑞隆" at 76%, followed by "柯志恩" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "高雄市市長選舉優勝者" has generated $11.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "高雄市市長選舉優勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "高雄市市長選舉優勝者" is "賴瑞隆" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "柯志恩" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "高雄市市長選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.