Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that established two limited pilot zones for phased Israeli repositioning—one north and one south of the Litani River—with the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control after verified steps toward disarming non-state groups. The accompanying security annex conditions any broader redeployment on successful, verifiable disarmament and dismantlement processes rather than fixed timelines, and Israeli leaders have repeatedly stated that forces will maintain the security zone south of the river until Hezbollah poses no further threat. Limited pilot implementations have begun without announcements of comprehensive withdrawal from territory beyond the river. Traders assess these structural conditions and ongoing security requirements as the dominant constraints on near-term resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,350,349 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
6%
10月31日
23%
December 31
17%
$1,350,349 交易量
9月30日
$126 交易量
6%
10月31日
$108 交易量
23%
December 31
$508,898 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that established two limited pilot zones for phased Israeli repositioning—one north and one south of the Litani River—with the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control after verified steps toward disarming non-state groups. The accompanying security annex conditions any broader redeployment on successful, verifiable disarmament and dismantlement processes rather than fixed timelines, and Israeli leaders have repeatedly stated that forces will maintain the security zone south of the river until Hezbollah poses no further threat. Limited pilot implementations have begun without announcements of comprehensive withdrawal from territory beyond the river. Traders assess these structural conditions and ongoing security requirements as the dominant constraints on near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
交易量
$1,350,349結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that established two limited pilot zones for phased Israeli repositioning—one north and one south of the Litani River—with the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control after verified steps toward disarming non-state groups. The accompanying security annex conditions any broader redeployment on successful, verifiable disarmament and dismantlement processes rather than fixed timelines, and Israeli leaders have repeatedly stated that forces will maintain the security zone south of the river until Hezbollah poses no further threat. Limited pilot implementations have begun without announcements of comprehensive withdrawal from territory beyond the river. Traders assess these structural conditions and ongoing security requirements as the dominant constraints on near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
交易量
$1,350,349結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETIsraeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that established two limited pilot zones for phased Israeli repositioning—one north and one south of the Litani River—with the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming control after verified steps toward disarming non-state groups. The accompanying security annex conditions any broader redeployment on successful, verifiable disarmament and dismantlement processes rather than fixed timelines, and Israeli leaders have repeatedly stated that forces will maintain the security zone south of the river until Hezbollah poses no further threat. Limited pilot implementations have begun without announcements of comprehensive withdrawal from territory beyond the river. Traders assess these structural conditions and ongoing security requirements as the dominant constraints on near-term resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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