Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城9月15日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城9月15日的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,709 交易量
$31,709 交易量
2026-09-15
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,709 交易量
$31,709 交易量
2026-09-15
17°C或以下
$348 交易量
否
18°C
$297 交易量
否
19°C
$348 交易量
否
20°C
$1,329 交易量
否
21°C
$391 交易量
否
22°C
$1,420 交易量
否
23°C
$5,684 交易量
否
24°C
$11,974 交易量
否
25°C
$5,820 交易量
是
26°C
$2,467 交易量
否
27°C或以上
$1,631 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$31,709結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,709結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions