Forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on September 21, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light northwest winds, and limited afternoon convection that caps solar heating at elevation. Recent September observations show a +1°C anomaly above the 24°C climatological average, with multiple days reaching 27–27.8°C when cloud cover thinned, supporting the market's 40% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and 20–40% shower chances introduce cooling potential that aligns with the leading 26°C outcome at 53.5%. Updated model runs through midday will refine whether reduced precipitation allows a brief spike above 27°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城9月21日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城9月21日的最高溫度？
26°C 49%
27°C或更高 44%
25°C 11%
24°C <1%
$22,041 交易量
$22,041 交易量
2026-09-21
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
49%
27°C或更高
44%
26°C 49%
27°C或更高 44%
25°C 11%
24°C <1%
$22,041 交易量
$22,041 交易量
2026-09-21
17°C或以下
$604 交易量
1%
18°C
$16 交易量
<1%
19°C
$31 交易量
<1%
20°C
$31 交易量
<1%
21°C
$41 交易量
<1%
22°C
$41 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,842 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,102 交易量
1%
25°C
$4,741 交易量
11%
26°C
$4,797 交易量
49%
27°C或更高
$8,794 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on September 21, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light northwest winds, and limited afternoon convection that caps solar heating at elevation. Recent September observations show a +1°C anomaly above the 24°C climatological average, with multiple days reaching 27–27.8°C when cloud cover thinned, supporting the market's 40% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and 20–40% shower chances introduce cooling potential that aligns with the leading 26°C outcome at 53.5%. Updated model runs through midday will refine whether reduced precipitation allows a brief spike above 27°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$22,041結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on September 21, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light northwest winds, and limited afternoon convection that caps solar heating at elevation. Recent September observations show a +1°C anomaly above the 24°C climatological average, with multiple days reaching 27–27.8°C when cloud cover thinned, supporting the market's 40% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and 20–40% shower chances introduce cooling potential that aligns with the leading 26°C outcome at 53.5%. Updated model runs through midday will refine whether reduced precipitation allows a brief spike above 27°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,041結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETForecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on September 21, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light northwest winds, and limited afternoon convection that caps solar heating at elevation. Recent September observations show a +1°C anomaly above the 24°C climatological average, with multiple days reaching 27–27.8°C when cloud cover thinned, supporting the market's 40% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and 20–40% shower chances introduce cooling potential that aligns with the leading 26°C outcome at 53.5%. Updated model runs through midday will refine whether reduced precipitation allows a brief spike above 27°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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