**Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI places Amsterdam’s September 11 maximum in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C carrying the highest implied probability.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough brings mild air, but extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain or drizzle—especially morning and midday—limit daytime heating and keep the peak near the seasonal average of ~19.6 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with most members favoring a narrow window around 20 °C once any showers clear and modest insolation occurs under broken cloud. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and KNMI guidance, which currently favor the upper end of the cooler scenario while acknowledging that a brief clearing could push the daily high to 21 °C or hold it at 19 °C depending on exact precipitation timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月11日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
20°C 56%
21°C 27%
19°C 12%
18°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
12%
20°C
56%
21°C
27%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 56%
21°C 27%
19°C 12%
18°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
$154 交易量
<1%
15°C
$146 交易量
<1%
16°C
$120 交易量
<1%
17°C
$189 交易量
2%
18°C
$161 交易量
3%
19°C
$298 交易量
12%
20°C
$987 交易量
56%
21°C
$1,482 交易量
27%
22°C
$215 交易量
3%
23°C
$244 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$207 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI places Amsterdam’s September 11 maximum in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C carrying the highest implied probability.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough brings mild air, but extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain or drizzle—especially morning and midday—limit daytime heating and keep the peak near the seasonal average of ~19.6 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with most members favoring a narrow window around 20 °C once any showers clear and modest insolation occurs under broken cloud. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and KNMI guidance, which currently favor the upper end of the cooler scenario while acknowledging that a brief clearing could push the daily high to 21 °C or hold it at 19 °C depending on exact precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,204結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI places Amsterdam’s September 11 maximum in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C carrying the highest implied probability.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough brings mild air, but extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain or drizzle—especially morning and midday—limit daytime heating and keep the peak near the seasonal average of ~19.6 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with most members favoring a narrow window around 20 °C once any showers clear and modest insolation occurs under broken cloud. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and KNMI guidance, which currently favor the upper end of the cooler scenario while acknowledging that a brief clearing could push the daily high to 21 °C or hold it at 19 °C depending on exact precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,204結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI places Amsterdam’s September 11 maximum in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C carrying the highest implied probability.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough brings mild air, but extensive cloud cover and periods of light rain or drizzle—especially morning and midday—limit daytime heating and keep the peak near the seasonal average of ~19.6 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with most members favoring a narrow window around 20 °C once any showers clear and modest insolation occurs under broken cloud. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and KNMI guidance, which currently favor the upper end of the cooler scenario while acknowledging that a brief clearing could push the daily high to 21 °C or hold it at 19 °C depending on exact precipitation timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions