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icon for Hamilton Mayoral Election
政治·加拿大

Hamilton Mayoral Election

icon for Hamilton Mayoral Election
政治·加拿大

Hamilton Mayoral Election

Keanin Loomis 56%

Andrea Horwath 34%

Sasha Austin 5.3%

Scarlett Gillespie 5.0%

Polymarket

$14,099 交易量

Keanin Loomis 56%

Andrea Horwath 34%

Sasha Austin 5.3%

Scarlett Gillespie 5.0%

Polymarket

$14,099 交易量

icon for Keanin Loomis

Keanin Loomis

$7,929 交易量

56%

icon for Andrea Horwath

Andrea Horwath

$2,039 交易量

34%

icon for Sasha Austin

Sasha Austin

$1,580 交易量

5%

icon for Scarlett Gillespie

Scarlett Gillespie

$1,136 交易量

5%

icon for Pamela Mitchell

Pamela Mitchell

$175 交易量

1%

icon for Paul Fromm

Paul Fromm

$398 交易量

1%

icon for Rob Cooper

Rob Cooper

$323 交易量

<1%

icon for Ejaz Butt

Ejaz Butt

$258 交易量

<1%

icon for Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

$261 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.Keanin Loomis leads the Hamilton mayoral market at 53.5% implied probability ahead of incumbent Andrea Horwath at 29.5%, with the October 26 municipal election roughly five weeks away. The contest is a rematch of the 2022 race, which Horwath won by just 1,663 votes after Loomis’s prior role leading the Hamilton Chamber of Commerce. Loomis, now president and CEO of the Canadian Institute of Steel Construction, has emphasized housing supply, infrastructure, economic growth, and restoring confidence in city hall. Horwath, who registered her re-election bid in mid-August, highlights progress on waterfront, airport, and housing investments during her term. Recent unofficial polling shows Loomis ahead, while a crowded field of lower-polling challengers including Rob Cooper and Scarlett Gillespie fragments opposition support. Trader positioning reflects Loomis’s consistent polling edge and the historical difficulty incumbents face in Hamilton mayoral races beyond one term.

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
交易量
$14,099
結束日期
2026-10-26
市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.Keanin Loomis leads the Hamilton mayoral market at 53.5% implied probability ahead of incumbent Andrea Horwath at 29.5%, with the October 26 municipal election roughly five weeks away. The contest is a rematch of the 2022 race, which Horwath won by just 1,663 votes after Loomis’s prior role leading the Hamilton Chamber of Commerce. Loomis, now president and CEO of the Canadian Institute of Steel Construction, has emphasized housing supply, infrastructure, economic growth, and restoring confidence in city hall. Horwath, who registered her re-election bid in mid-August, highlights progress on waterfront, airport, and housing investments during her term. Recent unofficial polling shows Loomis ahead, while a crowded field of lower-polling challengers including Rob Cooper and Scarlett Gillespie fragments opposition support. Trader positioning reflects Loomis’s consistent polling edge and the historical difficulty incumbents face in Hamilton mayoral races beyond one term.

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
交易量
$14,099
結束日期
2026-10-26
市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hamilton Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keanin Loomis" at 56%, followed by "Andrea Horwath" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hamilton Mayoral Election" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hamilton Mayoral Election," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hamilton Mayoral Election" is "Keanin Loomis" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrea Horwath" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hamilton Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.