Adama Barrow leads the market at 71.5% as the incumbent National People’s Party candidate seeking a third term in the December 5, 2026, first-past-the-post contest, bolstered by recent opinion polls showing him ahead in both vote intention and perceived electability. Official preparations continue with nomination forms issued in September and formal filings set for November, while Barrow’s June manifesto launch emphasized development priorities. Fragmented opposition figures such as Ousainou Darboe of the United Democratic Party, Talib Ahmed Bensouda, Bakary K. Badjie, and others trail in pricing, reflecting limited coalition progress and regional polling gaps despite ongoing voter registration revisions. September power outages triggered protests that opposition voices have highlighted, yet trader consensus continues to price in Barrow’s structural advantages from incumbency and survey positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿達馬·巴羅 72%
奧賽努·達爾波 11%
塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達 6.0%
Essa Faal 4.8%

阿達馬·巴羅
72%

奧賽努·達爾波
11%

塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達
9%

Essa Faal
5%

穆罕默德·阿明·巴
5%

Bakary K. Badjie
12%

瑪瑪·坎德
2%
阿達馬·巴羅 72%
奧賽努·達爾波 11%
塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達 6.0%
Essa Faal 4.8%

阿達馬·巴羅
72%

奧賽努·達爾波
11%

塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達
9%

Essa Faal
5%

穆罕默德·阿明·巴
5%

Bakary K. Badjie
12%

瑪瑪·坎德
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Adama Barrow leads the market at 71.5% as the incumbent National People’s Party candidate seeking a third term in the December 5, 2026, first-past-the-post contest, bolstered by recent opinion polls showing him ahead in both vote intention and perceived electability. Official preparations continue with nomination forms issued in September and formal filings set for November, while Barrow’s June manifesto launch emphasized development priorities. Fragmented opposition figures such as Ousainou Darboe of the United Democratic Party, Talib Ahmed Bensouda, Bakary K. Badjie, and others trail in pricing, reflecting limited coalition progress and regional polling gaps despite ongoing voter registration revisions. September power outages triggered protests that opposition voices have highlighted, yet trader consensus continues to price in Barrow’s structural advantages from incumbency and survey positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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