**José Maria Neves holds a strong lead in the Cape Verde presidential election market at 79.5% implied probability ahead of the November 15, 2026 vote.** As the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, he announced his re-election bid on September 14 and secured his party's formal endorsement shortly after. The PAICV's absolute majority win in the May 2026 parliamentary elections shifted the government from cohabitation to unified control, bolstering his position. Recent economic data showing 6.3% GDP growth in 2025, falling unemployment, and the first budget surplus since 2007 further support trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Opposition candidates from the MpD, such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with independents including Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum against the incumbent's experience and party infrastructure. The two-round system and candidate registration deadlines add procedural clarity, with no major late disruptions reported.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯 80%
喬安娜·羅莎 8.1%
卡西米羅·德·皮納 3.0%
Janine Lélis 2.1%
$23,356 交易量
$23,356 交易量
2027-06-30
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯
80%
喬安娜·羅莎
8%
卡西米羅·德·皮納
3%
Janine Lélis
2%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦
2%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯
2%
費爾南多·德爾加多
1%
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯 80%
喬安娜·羅莎 8.1%
卡西米羅·德·皮納 3.0%
Janine Lélis 2.1%
$23,356 交易量
$23,356 交易量
2027-06-30
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯
$16,187 交易量
80%
喬安娜·羅莎
$2,079 交易量
8%
卡西米羅·德·皮納
$640 交易量
3%
Janine Lélis
$2,856 交易量
2%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦
$444 交易量
2%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯
$772 交易量
2%
費爾南多·德爾加多
$380 交易量
1%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).**José Maria Neves holds a strong lead in the Cape Verde presidential election market at 79.5% implied probability ahead of the November 15, 2026 vote.** As the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, he announced his re-election bid on September 14 and secured his party's formal endorsement shortly after. The PAICV's absolute majority win in the May 2026 parliamentary elections shifted the government from cohabitation to unified control, bolstering his position. Recent economic data showing 6.3% GDP growth in 2025, falling unemployment, and the first budget surplus since 2007 further support trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Opposition candidates from the MpD, such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with independents including Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum against the incumbent's experience and party infrastructure. The two-round system and candidate registration deadlines add procedural clarity, with no major late disruptions reported.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
交易量
$23,356結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETPresidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).**José Maria Neves holds a strong lead in the Cape Verde presidential election market at 79.5% implied probability ahead of the November 15, 2026 vote.** As the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, he announced his re-election bid on September 14 and secured his party's formal endorsement shortly after. The PAICV's absolute majority win in the May 2026 parliamentary elections shifted the government from cohabitation to unified control, bolstering his position. Recent economic data showing 6.3% GDP growth in 2025, falling unemployment, and the first budget surplus since 2007 further support trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Opposition candidates from the MpD, such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with independents including Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum against the incumbent's experience and party infrastructure. The two-round system and candidate registration deadlines add procedural clarity, with no major late disruptions reported.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
交易量
$23,356結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET**José Maria Neves holds a strong lead in the Cape Verde presidential election market at 79.5% implied probability ahead of the November 15, 2026 vote.** As the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, he announced his re-election bid on September 14 and secured his party's formal endorsement shortly after. The PAICV's absolute majority win in the May 2026 parliamentary elections shifted the government from cohabitation to unified control, bolstering his position. Recent economic data showing 6.3% GDP growth in 2025, falling unemployment, and the first budget surplus since 2007 further support trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Opposition candidates from the MpD, such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with independents including Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum against the incumbent's experience and party infrastructure. The two-round system and candidate registration deadlines add procedural clarity, with no major late disruptions reported.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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