Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. David Jolly won the Democratic primary with about 61%, running with former Rep. Gwen Graham after most rivals withdrew. Florida’s gubernatorial contests have remained under uninterrupted Republican control since 1998, with the party holding structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and statewide electoral math. Recent polling aggregates place Donalds ahead by 4–6 points in the November 3 general election, though some surveys show a tighter margin. Traders price in these partisan fundamentals, the incumbent party’s historical performance, and Donalds’ primary momentum while assigning Jolly limited upside in a state that has consistently favored Republican candidates in executive races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$59,281 交易量
$59,281 交易量
2026-11-02
拜倫·唐納茲（共和黨）
83%
大衛·喬利（民主黨）
19%
$59,281 交易量
$59,281 交易量
2026-11-02
拜倫·唐納茲（共和黨）
$27,880 交易量
83%
大衛·喬利（民主黨）
$31,401 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. David Jolly won the Democratic primary with about 61%, running with former Rep. Gwen Graham after most rivals withdrew. Florida’s gubernatorial contests have remained under uninterrupted Republican control since 1998, with the party holding structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and statewide electoral math. Recent polling aggregates place Donalds ahead by 4–6 points in the November 3 general election, though some surveys show a tighter margin. Traders price in these partisan fundamentals, the incumbent party’s historical performance, and Donalds’ primary momentum while assigning Jolly limited upside in a state that has consistently favored Republican candidates in executive races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$59,281結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. David Jolly won the Democratic primary with about 61%, running with former Rep. Gwen Graham after most rivals withdrew. Florida’s gubernatorial contests have remained under uninterrupted Republican control since 1998, with the party holding structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and statewide electoral math. Recent polling aggregates place Donalds ahead by 4–6 points in the November 3 general election, though some surveys show a tighter margin. Traders price in these partisan fundamentals, the incumbent party’s historical performance, and Donalds’ primary momentum while assigning Jolly limited upside in a state that has consistently favored Republican candidates in executive races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$59,281結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETByron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. David Jolly won the Democratic primary with about 61%, running with former Rep. Gwen Graham after most rivals withdrew. Florida’s gubernatorial contests have remained under uninterrupted Republican control since 1998, with the party holding structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and statewide electoral math. Recent polling aggregates place Donalds ahead by 4–6 points in the November 3 general election, though some surveys show a tighter margin. Traders price in these partisan fundamentals, the incumbent party’s historical performance, and Donalds’ primary momentum while assigning Jolly limited upside in a state that has consistently favored Republican candidates in executive races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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