Recent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading overall intentions for the Distrito Federal's two Senate seats, with Leila do Vôlei, Bia Kicis, and Erika Kokay clustered closely behind within margins of error for second place. Traders price Leila highest for that position amid her incumbent status and PDT alignment with Lula-aligned forces, while PL-backed candidates Bia Kicis and Michelle split bolsonarista support. The tight distribution across many names reflects fragmented preferences, high undecided shares, and the dual-vote system, where small shifts in turnout or late endorsements among key blocs could reorder the second slot before the October ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Leila do Vôlei 53%
比娅·基西斯 30.3%
Erika Kokay 9%
米歇爾·波索納羅 1.0%
$40,097 交易量
$40,097 交易量
2026-10-04
Leila do Vôlei
53%
比娅·基西斯
30%
Erika Kokay
9%
米歇爾·波索納羅
6%
大衛·霍恩
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
吉列爾梅·阿莫林教授
<1%
蒂亞戈
<1%
馬利
<1%
羅納爾多·豐塞卡
<1%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略
<1%
贊納塔
<1%
Leila do Vôlei 53%
比娅·基西斯 30.3%
Erika Kokay 9%
米歇爾·波索納羅 1.0%
$40,097 交易量
$40,097 交易量
2026-10-04
Leila do Vôlei
$14,211 交易量
53%
比娅·基西斯
$9,639 交易量
30%
Erika Kokay
$6,105 交易量
9%
米歇爾·波索納羅
$4,262 交易量
6%
大衛·霍恩
$2,042 交易量
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$437 交易量
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 交易量
<1%
吉列爾梅·阿莫林教授
$878 交易量
<1%
蒂亞戈
$546 交易量
<1%
馬利
$392 交易量
<1%
羅納爾多·豐塞卡
$407 交易量
<1%
塞巴斯蒂昂·科埃略
$381 交易量
<1%
贊納塔
$417 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading overall intentions for the Distrito Federal's two Senate seats, with Leila do Vôlei, Bia Kicis, and Erika Kokay clustered closely behind within margins of error for second place. Traders price Leila highest for that position amid her incumbent status and PDT alignment with Lula-aligned forces, while PL-backed candidates Bia Kicis and Michelle split bolsonarista support. The tight distribution across many names reflects fragmented preferences, high undecided shares, and the dual-vote system, where small shifts in turnout or late endorsements among key blocs could reorder the second slot before the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
交易量
$40,097結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading overall intentions for the Distrito Federal's two Senate seats, with Leila do Vôlei, Bia Kicis, and Erika Kokay clustered closely behind within margins of error for second place. Traders price Leila highest for that position amid her incumbent status and PDT alignment with Lula-aligned forces, while PL-backed candidates Bia Kicis and Michelle split bolsonarista support. The tight distribution across many names reflects fragmented preferences, high undecided shares, and the dual-vote system, where small shifts in turnout or late endorsements among key blocs could reorder the second slot before the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$40,097結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETRecent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading overall intentions for the Distrito Federal's two Senate seats, with Leila do Vôlei, Bia Kicis, and Erika Kokay clustered closely behind within margins of error for second place. Traders price Leila highest for that position amid her incumbent status and PDT alignment with Lula-aligned forces, while PL-backed candidates Bia Kicis and Michelle split bolsonarista support. The tight distribution across many names reflects fragmented preferences, high undecided shares, and the dual-vote system, where small shifts in turnout or late endorsements among key blocs could reorder the second slot before the October ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions