Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Luizianne 38%
卡皮唐·瓦格納 36%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 1.2%
$36,440 交易量
$36,440 交易量
2026-10-04
Luizianne
43%
卡皮唐·瓦格納
36%
Cid Gomes
20%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
卡塔琳娜·馬托斯
<1%
雷吉納爾多
<1%
Luizianne 38%
卡皮唐·瓦格納 36%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 1.2%
$36,440 交易量
$36,440 交易量
2026-10-04
Luizianne
$11,611 交易量
43%
卡皮唐·瓦格納
$14,298 交易量
36%
Cid Gomes
$4,901 交易量
20%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 交易量
1%
Lino Alves
$942 交易量
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 交易量
<1%
卡塔琳娜·馬托斯
$1,538 交易量
<1%
雷吉納爾多
$1,234 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$36,440結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$36,440結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRecent polling from July through early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading consolidated intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará at 23-27%, leaving a narrow contest for the second vacancy between Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede). Multiple surveys place the pair within margins of error, often 16-24% and 9-21% respectively, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) nearby in some samples. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and blank or null responses, combined with voters' option to split tickets across the two seats, sustain the tight positioning. Luizianne's placement on the government-aligned ticket with Cid and gubernatorial candidate Elmano has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have prevented clearer separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions