Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,140 交易量
$26,140 交易量
2026-11-02
布拉德．舍曼（民主黨）
95%
Larry Thompson（共和黨）
1%
$26,140 交易量
$26,140 交易量
2026-11-02
布拉德．舍曼（民主黨）
$12,387 交易量
95%
Larry Thompson（共和黨）
$13,753 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$26,140結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,140結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETBrad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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