Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke clustered between 19% and 22% across major institutes, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU (18-21%) and AfD (17-19%). The party has risen sharply from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, driven by gains on housing affordability and cost-of-living concerns under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside membership growth that has made it Berlin’s largest party by headcount. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA indicate modest softening for Linke while the CDU holds or edges ahead, keeping the outcome within the 17-23% band favored by traders. The CDU-SPD coalition’s projected loss of a majority and competition from the Greens further compress the range, with limited room for late shifts before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於17-20% 40%
20-23% 33%
23%以上 22%
少於 17% 10%
$53,785 交易量
$53,785 交易量
2026-09-20
少於 17%
10%
17-20%
40%
20-23%
33%
23%以上
22%
17-20% 40%
20-23% 33%
23%以上 22%
少於 17% 10%
$53,785 交易量
$53,785 交易量
2026-09-20
少於 17%
$11,084 交易量
10%
17-20%
$13,334 交易量
40%
20-23%
$14,561 交易量
33%
23%以上
$14,805 交易量
22%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke clustered between 19% and 22% across major institutes, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU (18-21%) and AfD (17-19%). The party has risen sharply from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, driven by gains on housing affordability and cost-of-living concerns under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside membership growth that has made it Berlin’s largest party by headcount. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA indicate modest softening for Linke while the CDU holds or edges ahead, keeping the outcome within the 17-23% band favored by traders. The CDU-SPD coalition’s projected loss of a majority and competition from the Greens further compress the range, with limited room for late shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
交易量
$53,785結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke clustered between 19% and 22% across major institutes, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU (18-21%) and AfD (17-19%). The party has risen sharply from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, driven by gains on housing affordability and cost-of-living concerns under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside membership growth that has made it Berlin’s largest party by headcount. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA indicate modest softening for Linke while the CDU holds or edges ahead, keeping the outcome within the 17-23% band favored by traders. The CDU-SPD coalition’s projected loss of a majority and competition from the Greens further compress the range, with limited room for late shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$53,785結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRecent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke clustered between 19% and 22% across major institutes, placing it in a tight three-way contest with the CDU (18-21%) and AfD (17-19%). The party has risen sharply from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, driven by gains on housing affordability and cost-of-living concerns under lead candidate Elif Eralp, alongside membership growth that has made it Berlin’s largest party by headcount. Latest surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA indicate modest softening for Linke while the CDU holds or edges ahead, keeping the outcome within the 17-23% band favored by traders. The CDU-SPD coalition’s projected loss of a majority and competition from the Greens further compress the range, with limited room for late shifts before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions