The Berlin state election held on September 20, 2026, produced final results placing the CDU at 18.8% of the second-vote share, squarely inside the 17-20% band that now commands near-unanimous trader consensus. The governing CDU-SPD coalition suffered substantial losses from its 2023 performance, with the CDU dropping roughly nine points amid voter dissatisfaction over housing costs and other local issues, while Die Linke surged to 25.7% on strong youth turnout. Pre-election polling had already shown the CDU pinned near 20%, and exit polls plus preliminary counts quickly converged on an outcome inside that narrow interval. Only a material revision during final certification or an unanticipated recount could realistically move the CDU share outside 17-20%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於17-20% 100%
小於17% <1%
20-23% <1%
23%+ <1%
$39,104 交易量
$39,104 交易量
2026-09-20
小於17%
否
17-20%
是
20-23%
否
23%+
否
17-20% 100%
小於17% <1%
20-23% <1%
23%+ <1%
$39,104 交易量
$39,104 交易量
2026-09-20
小於17%
$10,476 交易量
否
17-20%
$12,582 交易量
是
20-23%
$10,786 交易量
否
23%+
$5,260 交易量
否
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election held on September 20, 2026, produced final results placing the CDU at 18.8% of the second-vote share, squarely inside the 17-20% band that now commands near-unanimous trader consensus. The governing CDU-SPD coalition suffered substantial losses from its 2023 performance, with the CDU dropping roughly nine points amid voter dissatisfaction over housing costs and other local issues, while Die Linke surged to 25.7% on strong youth turnout. Pre-election polling had already shown the CDU pinned near 20%, and exit polls plus preliminary counts quickly converged on an outcome inside that narrow interval. Only a material revision during final certification or an unanticipated recount could realistically move the CDU share outside 17-20%.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
交易量
$39,104結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election held on September 20, 2026, produced final results placing the CDU at 18.8% of the second-vote share, squarely inside the 17-20% band that now commands near-unanimous trader consensus. The governing CDU-SPD coalition suffered substantial losses from its 2023 performance, with the CDU dropping roughly nine points amid voter dissatisfaction over housing costs and other local issues, while Die Linke surged to 25.7% on strong youth turnout. Pre-election polling had already shown the CDU pinned near 20%, and exit polls plus preliminary counts quickly converged on an outcome inside that narrow interval. Only a material revision during final certification or an unanticipated recount could realistically move the CDU share outside 17-20%.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$39,104結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The Berlin state election held on September 20, 2026, produced final results placing the CDU at 18.8% of the second-vote share, squarely inside the 17-20% band that now commands near-unanimous trader consensus. The governing CDU-SPD coalition suffered substantial losses from its 2023 performance, with the CDU dropping roughly nine points amid voter dissatisfaction over housing costs and other local issues, while Die Linke surged to 25.7% on strong youth turnout. Pre-election polling had already shown the CDU pinned near 20%, and exit polls plus preliminary counts quickly converged on an outcome inside that narrow interval. Only a material revision during final certification or an unanticipated recount could realistically move the CDU share outside 17-20%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions