Recent polling and election-day projections positioned the CDU for second place in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election behind Die Linke. Pre-election surveys from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA showed the CDU holding steady near 20 percent while trailing the Linke’s gains and ahead of the AfD, Grüne, and SPD. Exit polls and early counts on election night confirmed this ordering, with the CDU projected at roughly 20 percent against the Linke’s 25 percent range and the AfD and Grüne clustered lower. Traders assigned high probability to the CDU for second place on the basis of this consistent polling trajectory and the absence of late shifts that would elevate another party into that slot. Resolution awaits final official tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於CDU 88.5%
德國另類選擇黨（AfD） 3.5%
綠黨 3.2%
Linke 2.3%
$74,798 交易量
$74,798 交易量
2026-09-20
CDU
89%
德國另類選擇黨（AfD）
3%
綠黨
3%
Linke
2%
社民黨
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 88.5%
德國另類選擇黨（AfD） 3.5%
綠黨 3.2%
Linke 2.3%
$74,798 交易量
$74,798 交易量
2026-09-20
CDU
$24,521 交易量
89%
德國另類選擇黨（AfD）
$17,886 交易量
3%
綠黨
$9,966 交易量
3%
Linke
$14,910 交易量
2%
社民黨
$5,407 交易量
<1%
FDP
$686 交易量
<1%
FW
$640 交易量
<1%
BSW
$783 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling and election-day projections positioned the CDU for second place in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election behind Die Linke. Pre-election surveys from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA showed the CDU holding steady near 20 percent while trailing the Linke’s gains and ahead of the AfD, Grüne, and SPD. Exit polls and early counts on election night confirmed this ordering, with the CDU projected at roughly 20 percent against the Linke’s 25 percent range and the AfD and Grüne clustered lower. Traders assigned high probability to the CDU for second place on the basis of this consistent polling trajectory and the absence of late shifts that would elevate another party into that slot. Resolution awaits final official tallies.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
交易量
$74,798結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling and election-day projections positioned the CDU for second place in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election behind Die Linke. Pre-election surveys from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA showed the CDU holding steady near 20 percent while trailing the Linke’s gains and ahead of the AfD, Grüne, and SPD. Exit polls and early counts on election night confirmed this ordering, with the CDU projected at roughly 20 percent against the Linke’s 25 percent range and the AfD and Grüne clustered lower. Traders assigned high probability to the CDU for second place on the basis of this consistent polling trajectory and the absence of late shifts that would elevate another party into that slot. Resolution awaits final official tallies.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$74,798結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETRecent polling and election-day projections positioned the CDU for second place in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election behind Die Linke. Pre-election surveys from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA showed the CDU holding steady near 20 percent while trailing the Linke’s gains and ahead of the AfD, Grüne, and SPD. Exit polls and early counts on election night confirmed this ordering, with the CDU projected at roughly 20 percent against the Linke’s 25 percent range and the AfD and Grüne clustered lower. Traders assigned high probability to the CDU for second place on the basis of this consistent polling trajectory and the absence of late shifts that would elevate another party into that slot. Resolution awaits final official tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions