The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 produced a confirmed Grüne share of 14.3 percent in preliminary counts, placing the result firmly inside the leading 14-17 percent band. This outcome reflects a 4.1-point drop from the 2023 election amid gains for Die Linke and AfD, with the Greens finishing fourth behind the Linke, CDU, and AfD. Traders priced the interval at 97.5 percent because exit polls, early returns, and district-level patterns converged tightly around that range well before full certification. The final official tally from the Landeswahlleiter remains the sole resolution trigger, though material deviation from the reported figure is considered improbable absent widespread counting discrepancies. Coalition negotiations involving the Greens may unfold in coming weeks but do not alter the vote-share resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於14-17% 97.4%
少於14% 1.8%
17-20% <1%
20%以上 <1%
$74,949 交易量
$74,949 交易量
2026-09-20
少於14%
2%
14-17%
97%
17-20%
1%
20%以上
<1%
14-17% 97.4%
少於14% 1.8%
17-20% <1%
20%以上 <1%
$74,949 交易量
$74,949 交易量
2026-09-20
少於14%
$30,252 交易量
2%
14-17%
$27,354 交易量
97%
17-20%
$13,678 交易量
1%
20%以上
$3,665 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 produced a confirmed Grüne share of 14.3 percent in preliminary counts, placing the result firmly inside the leading 14-17 percent band. This outcome reflects a 4.1-point drop from the 2023 election amid gains for Die Linke and AfD, with the Greens finishing fourth behind the Linke, CDU, and AfD. Traders priced the interval at 97.5 percent because exit polls, early returns, and district-level patterns converged tightly around that range well before full certification. The final official tally from the Landeswahlleiter remains the sole resolution trigger, though material deviation from the reported figure is considered improbable absent widespread counting discrepancies. Coalition negotiations involving the Greens may unfold in coming weeks but do not alter the vote-share resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
交易量
$74,949結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 produced a confirmed Grüne share of 14.3 percent in preliminary counts, placing the result firmly inside the leading 14-17 percent band. This outcome reflects a 4.1-point drop from the 2023 election amid gains for Die Linke and AfD, with the Greens finishing fourth behind the Linke, CDU, and AfD. Traders priced the interval at 97.5 percent because exit polls, early returns, and district-level patterns converged tightly around that range well before full certification. The final official tally from the Landeswahlleiter remains the sole resolution trigger, though material deviation from the reported figure is considered improbable absent widespread counting discrepancies. Coalition negotiations involving the Greens may unfold in coming weeks but do not alter the vote-share resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$74,949結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETThe Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 produced a confirmed Grüne share of 14.3 percent in preliminary counts, placing the result firmly inside the leading 14-17 percent band. This outcome reflects a 4.1-point drop from the 2023 election amid gains for Die Linke and AfD, with the Greens finishing fourth behind the Linke, CDU, and AfD. Traders priced the interval at 97.5 percent because exit polls, early returns, and district-level patterns converged tightly around that range well before full certification. The final official tally from the Landeswahlleiter remains the sole resolution trigger, though material deviation from the reported figure is considered improbable absent widespread counting discrepancies. Coalition negotiations involving the Greens may unfold in coming weeks but do not alter the vote-share resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions