Recent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight contest for the top spots, with Die Linke and CDU trading narrow leads near 20 percent, AfD holding third at roughly 18 percent, and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen positioned fourth around 15–16 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple institutes in the final weeks, supporting the market’s elevated probability for the Greens to finish fourth. The SPD trails further back near 12 percent, while smaller parties such as BSW and FDP hover below the five-percent threshold. Traders appear to weigh the consistent mid-pack placement of the Greens against limited late-campaign volatility, with turnout and undecided voters cited as the main remaining variables before results are finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於綠黨 65%
AfD 14%
社民黨 10%
基民盟 7.6%
$20,336 交易量
$20,336 交易量
2026-09-20
綠黨
65%
AfD
14%
社民黨
10%
基民盟
8%
Linke
5%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
FW
<1%
綠黨 65%
AfD 14%
社民黨 10%
基民盟 7.6%
$20,336 交易量
$20,336 交易量
2026-09-20
綠黨
$7,545 交易量
65%
AfD
$5,088 交易量
14%
社民黨
$369 交易量
10%
基民盟
$467 交易量
8%
Linke
$1,110 交易量
5%
BSW
$1,866 交易量
1%
FDP
$1,561 交易量
1%
FW
$2,331 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight contest for the top spots, with Die Linke and CDU trading narrow leads near 20 percent, AfD holding third at roughly 18 percent, and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen positioned fourth around 15–16 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple institutes in the final weeks, supporting the market’s elevated probability for the Greens to finish fourth. The SPD trails further back near 12 percent, while smaller parties such as BSW and FDP hover below the five-percent threshold. Traders appear to weigh the consistent mid-pack placement of the Greens against limited late-campaign volatility, with turnout and undecided voters cited as the main remaining variables before results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
交易量
$20,336結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight contest for the top spots, with Die Linke and CDU trading narrow leads near 20 percent, AfD holding third at roughly 18 percent, and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen positioned fourth around 15–16 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple institutes in the final weeks, supporting the market’s elevated probability for the Greens to finish fourth. The SPD trails further back near 12 percent, while smaller parties such as BSW and FDP hover below the five-percent threshold. Traders appear to weigh the consistent mid-pack placement of the Greens against limited late-campaign volatility, with turnout and undecided voters cited as the main remaining variables before results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$20,336結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETRecent polling ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election shows a tight contest for the top spots, with Die Linke and CDU trading narrow leads near 20 percent, AfD holding third at roughly 18 percent, and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen positioned fourth around 15–16 percent. This ordering has remained stable across multiple institutes in the final weeks, supporting the market’s elevated probability for the Greens to finish fourth. The SPD trails further back near 12 percent, while smaller parties such as BSW and FDP hover below the five-percent threshold. Traders appear to weigh the consistent mid-pack placement of the Greens against limited late-campaign volatility, with turnout and undecided voters cited as the main remaining variables before results are finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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