Javier Milei, the incumbent president from La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 54% for the October 2027 presidential election due to his consolidation of center-right support and consistent polling edges of 5–10 points over main challenger Axel Kicillof in first-round scenarios. Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires and leading Peronist figure, holds 35.5% amid strong opposition consolidation in key provinces, though some surveys show tighter or tied runoffs. Lower-priced options such as Sergio Massa, Myriam Bregman, and others reflect limited voter reach in recent national polling. Recent August–September 2026 surveys indicate stable but modest Milei approval near 42%, with economic pressures and gender gaps in support shaping the polarized contest ahead of primaries and the general vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哈維爾·米萊伊 54%
阿克塞爾·基西洛夫 36%
塞爾希奧·馬薩 6.7%
但丁·赫貝爾 3.1%
$693,302 交易量
$693,302 交易量

哈維爾·米萊伊
54%

阿克塞爾·基西洛夫
36%

塞爾希奧·馬薩
7%

但丁·赫貝爾
3%

米麗安·布雷格曼
1%

維多利亞·比利亞魯埃爾
1%

胡安·格拉博伊斯
1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

胡安·斯基亞雷蒂
<1%

法昆多·馬內斯
<1%

毛里西奧·馬克里
<1%
哈維爾·米萊伊 54%
阿克塞爾·基西洛夫 36%
塞爾希奧·馬薩 6.7%
但丁·赫貝爾 3.1%
$693,302 交易量
$693,302 交易量

哈維爾·米萊伊
54%

阿克塞爾·基西洛夫
36%

塞爾希奧·馬薩
7%

但丁·赫貝爾
3%

米麗安·布雷格曼
1%

維多利亞·比利亞魯埃爾
1%

胡安·格拉博伊斯
1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

胡安·斯基亞雷蒂
<1%

法昆多·馬內斯
<1%

毛里西奧·馬克里
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
市場開放時間: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Javier Milei, the incumbent president from La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 54% for the October 2027 presidential election due to his consolidation of center-right support and consistent polling edges of 5–10 points over main challenger Axel Kicillof in first-round scenarios. Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires and leading Peronist figure, holds 35.5% amid strong opposition consolidation in key provinces, though some surveys show tighter or tied runoffs. Lower-priced options such as Sergio Massa, Myriam Bregman, and others reflect limited voter reach in recent national polling. Recent August–September 2026 surveys indicate stable but modest Milei approval near 42%, with economic pressures and gender gaps in support shaping the polarized contest ahead of primaries and the general vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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