Skip to main content

如需在美國交易,請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者

阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者

icon for 阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者

阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者

哈維爾·米萊伊 54%

阿克塞爾·基西洛夫 36%

塞爾希奧·馬薩 6.7%

但丁·赫貝爾 3.1%

Polymarket

$693,302 交易量

哈維爾·米萊伊 54%

阿克塞爾·基西洛夫 36%

塞爾希奧·馬薩 6.7%

但丁·赫貝爾 3.1%

Polymarket

$693,302 交易量

icon for 哈維爾·米萊伊

哈維爾·米萊伊

$182,584 交易量

54%

icon for 阿克塞爾·基西洛夫

阿克塞爾·基西洛夫

$124,410 交易量

36%

icon for 塞爾希奧·馬薩

塞爾希奧·馬薩

$61,701 交易量

7%

icon for 但丁·赫貝爾

但丁·赫貝爾

$47,474 交易量

3%

icon for 米麗安·布雷格曼

米麗安·布雷格曼

$54,883 交易量

1%

icon for 維多利亞·比利亞魯埃爾

維多利亞·比利亞魯埃爾

$38,880 交易量

1%

icon for 胡安·格拉博伊斯

胡安·格拉博伊斯

$41,238 交易量

1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$30,118 交易量

<1%

icon for 胡安·斯基亞雷蒂

胡安·斯基亞雷蒂

$37,134 交易量

<1%

icon for 法昆多·馬內斯

法昆多·馬內斯

$30,536 交易量

<1%

icon for 毛里西奧·馬克里

毛里西奧·馬克里

$44,342 交易量

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei, the incumbent president from La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 54% for the October 2027 presidential election due to his consolidation of center-right support and consistent polling edges of 5–10 points over main challenger Axel Kicillof in first-round scenarios. Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires and leading Peronist figure, holds 35.5% amid strong opposition consolidation in key provinces, though some surveys show tighter or tied runoffs. Lower-priced options such as Sergio Massa, Myriam Bregman, and others reflect limited voter reach in recent national polling. Recent August–September 2026 surveys indicate stable but modest Milei approval near 42%, with economic pressures and gender gaps in support shaping the polarized contest ahead of primaries and the general vote.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
交易量
$693,302
結束日期
2027-10-24
市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei, the incumbent president from La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 54% for the October 2027 presidential election due to his consolidation of center-right support and consistent polling edges of 5–10 points over main challenger Axel Kicillof in first-round scenarios. Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires and leading Peronist figure, holds 35.5% amid strong opposition consolidation in key provinces, though some surveys show tighter or tied runoffs. Lower-priced options such as Sergio Massa, Myriam Bregman, and others reflect limited voter reach in recent national polling. Recent August–September 2026 surveys indicate stable but modest Milei approval near 42%, with economic pressures and gender gaps in support shaping the polarized contest ahead of primaries and the general vote.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
交易量
$693,302
結束日期
2027-10-24
市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "哈維爾·米萊伊" at 54%, followed by "阿克塞爾·基西洛夫" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者" has generated $693.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者" is "哈維爾·米萊伊" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "阿克塞爾·基西洛夫" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿根廷總統選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.