President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3% khả năng
$23,487 KL.
$23,487 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
3% khả năng
$23,487 KL.
$23,487 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23,487Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$23,487Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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