Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Polling models currently assign Democrats roughly 70% odds of securing a majority, which would allow the new majority to advance articles of impeachment once the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including H.Res. 1486 introduced in August 2026 and referred to the Judiciary Committee, illustrate ongoing interest, while public surveys show a slim majority of voters believe grounds exist. Traders price these institutional and electoral dynamics as the decisive factors, noting that a Republican House would block proceedings through term’s end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật68% khả năng
$102,057 KL.
$102,057 KL.
Jan 19, 2029
Kiếm 3.25%
68% khả năng
$102,057 KL.
$102,057 KL.
Jan 19, 2029
Kiếm 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Polling models currently assign Democrats roughly 70% odds of securing a majority, which would allow the new majority to advance articles of impeachment once the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including H.Res. 1486 introduced in August 2026 and referred to the Judiciary Committee, illustrate ongoing interest, while public surveys show a slim majority of voters believe grounds exist. Traders price these institutional and electoral dynamics as the decisive factors, noting that a Republican House would block proceedings through term’s end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$102,057Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Polling models currently assign Democrats roughly 70% odds of securing a majority, which would allow the new majority to advance articles of impeachment once the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including H.Res. 1486 introduced in August 2026 and referred to the Judiciary Committee, illustrate ongoing interest, while public surveys show a slim majority of voters believe grounds exist. Traders price these institutional and electoral dynamics as the decisive factors, noting that a Republican House would block proceedings through term’s end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Khối lượng
$102,057Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms forms the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Polling models currently assign Democrats roughly 70% odds of securing a majority, which would allow the new majority to advance articles of impeachment once the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including H.Res. 1486 introduced in August 2026 and referred to the Judiciary Committee, illustrate ongoing interest, while public surveys show a slim majority of voters believe grounds exist. Traders price these institutional and electoral dynamics as the decisive factors, noting that a Republican House would block proceedings through term’s end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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