The Trump administration has expanded use of minority equity stakes as a tool of industrial policy, converting CHIPS Act grants, Defense Production Act funding, and other incentives into ownership positions in firms tied to semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains. Since early 2025, the Commerce Department and other agencies have announced or finalized deals involving Intel (nearly 10 percent), MP Materials, GlobalFoundries, and multiple quantum companies including IBM, Rigetti, D-Wave, and others, bringing the total portfolio near 30 holdings. Trader focus centers on firms already in active negotiations or with large pending awards, while AI-related discussions and potential NDAA provisions for Pentagon equity authority represent near-term variables that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$184,241 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Rigetti
99%
GlobalFoundries
98%
D-Wave
97%
Unusual Machines
33%
Micron
16%
IonQ
16%
Anduril
16%
TSMC
16%
Lockheed Martin
15%
Nvidia
14%
OpenAI
13%
Freeport-McMoRan
10%
SpaceX
10%
Eli Lilly
9%
Boeing
7%
Palantir
7%
Anthropic
7%
Samsung Electronics
4%
Pfizer
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
4%
$184,241 KL.
Rigetti
$26,766 KL.
99%
GlobalFoundries
$8,943 KL.
98%
D-Wave
$5,230 KL.
97%
Unusual Machines
$211 KL.
33%
Micron
$1,954 KL.
16%
IonQ
$2,687 KL.
16%
Anduril
$43,415 KL.
16%
TSMC
$15,451 KL.
16%
Lockheed Martin
$2,589 KL.
15%
Nvidia
$16,013 KL.
14%
OpenAI
$10,795 KL.
13%
Freeport-McMoRan
$3,286 KL.
10%
SpaceX
$58 KL.
10%
Eli Lilly
$3,115 KL.
9%
Boeing
$9,972 KL.
7%
Palantir
$4,103 KL.
7%
Anthropic
$6,531 KL.
7%
Samsung Electronics
$10,347 KL.
4%
Pfizer
$6,364 KL.
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$6,412 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has expanded use of minority equity stakes as a tool of industrial policy, converting CHIPS Act grants, Defense Production Act funding, and other incentives into ownership positions in firms tied to semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains. Since early 2025, the Commerce Department and other agencies have announced or finalized deals involving Intel (nearly 10 percent), MP Materials, GlobalFoundries, and multiple quantum companies including IBM, Rigetti, D-Wave, and others, bringing the total portfolio near 30 holdings. Trader focus centers on firms already in active negotiations or with large pending awards, while AI-related discussions and potential NDAA provisions for Pentagon equity authority represent near-term variables that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Khối lượng
$184,241Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has expanded use of minority equity stakes as a tool of industrial policy, converting CHIPS Act grants, Defense Production Act funding, and other incentives into ownership positions in firms tied to semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains. Since early 2025, the Commerce Department and other agencies have announced or finalized deals involving Intel (nearly 10 percent), MP Materials, GlobalFoundries, and multiple quantum companies including IBM, Rigetti, D-Wave, and others, bringing the total portfolio near 30 holdings. Trader focus centers on firms already in active negotiations or with large pending awards, while AI-related discussions and potential NDAA provisions for Pentagon equity authority represent near-term variables that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$184,241Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has expanded use of minority equity stakes as a tool of industrial policy, converting CHIPS Act grants, Defense Production Act funding, and other incentives into ownership positions in firms tied to semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains. Since early 2025, the Commerce Department and other agencies have announced or finalized deals involving Intel (nearly 10 percent), MP Materials, GlobalFoundries, and multiple quantum companies including IBM, Rigetti, D-Wave, and others, bringing the total portfolio near 30 holdings. Trader focus centers on firms already in active negotiations or with large pending awards, while AI-related discussions and potential NDAA provisions for Pentagon equity authority represent near-term variables that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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