Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVirginia Senate Election Winner
Virginia Senate Election Winner
$23,148 KL.
$23,148 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
5%
$23,148 KL.
$23,148 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
$15,894 KL.
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
$7,254 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23,148Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$23,148Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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